TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126523
Played Sep 13Finished
Tomas Kos
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111171012118118
Michal Zahradka
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingTomas Kos above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 97 set 5, 11-8
97 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kos 4–1 Michal Zahradka Michal Zahradka has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
They have already met 2 times today · last one 3h before this match
Kos beat Zahradka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Kos)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.30 / Zahradka 3.40
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Kos)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126523
Kos1.30
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite59% won 26 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it76% 22 of 29
Zahradka3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 69 of 171
Down 0–1, comes back19% 16 of 83
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKos4wins
AwayZahradka1wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKos leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos100%3 of 3
AwayZahradkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos3Zahradka2n = 5Kos took 3 of 5
S2Kos4Zahradka1n = 5Kos took 4 of 5
S3Kos2Zahradka3n = 5Zahradka took 3 of 5
S4Kos3Zahradka1n = 4Kos took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKosZahradkaK − ZBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match43.635.0+8.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 190 vs 437 / 90450%48.3%95 / 190 vs 437 / 904Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.30/Zahradka 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.3%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 13 · 18:30T. Kos541113811113M. Zahradka4681511752
WSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos45111112113M. Zahradka32561471
WAug 20 · 10:30T. Kos371114123M. Zahradka26412100
WApr 7 · 12:30T. Kos43101111113M. Zahradka30127471
LJan 2 · 13:30T. Kos398111191M. Zahradka4111613113
T. Kos10
LSep 13 · 20:00E. Mares2.2011124113T. Kos1.618101191WSep 13 · 19:00T. Postelt2.5031111782T. Kos1.50119911113WSep 13 · 18:30T. Kos1.281113811113M. Zahradka3.5081511752LSep 13 · 17:29T. Kos2.25211771J. Cernik1.5711911113WSep 13 · 16:30L. Zeman3.00212241T. Kos1.36111011113WSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471WSep 13 · 14:30J. Cernik1.5351090T. Kos2.381112113WSep 12 · 13:30L. Jindrak2.252740T. Kos1.571111113WSep 12 · 12:00L. Zeman2.7581190T. Kos1.401113113WSep 12 · 11:00L. Jindrak2.1068130T. Kos1.671111153
M. Zahradka10
LSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872LSep 13 · 19:30M. Zahradka3.7512611131E. Mares1.2514119153LSep 13 · 18:30T. Kos1.281113811113M. Zahradka3.5081511752WSep 13 · 17:00L. Zeman1.83610111152M. Zahradka1.83111264113LSep 13 · 16:00M. Zahradka4.0010121081J. Cernik1.22121012113LSep 13 · 15:30T. Kos1.30111112113M. Zahradka3.40561471LSep 13 · 14:00M. Zahradka2.10811121192L. Zeman1.67117149113LSep 8 · 17:30M. Zahradka1.83101181152T. Postelt1.83129114113WSep 8 · 16:30M. Zahradka1.831116113T. Postelt1.8361450WSep 8 · 15:00M. Zahradka2.751111113V. Koubek1.405680
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