TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135783
Played Sep 16Finished
Petr Bradach
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911811119811––
Michal Zahradka
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:46 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Bradach above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 78 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 57.4%
78 points played in total.
H2H Petr Bradach 6–14 Michal Zahradka Petr Bradach has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:46What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zahradka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-14 in 20
Zahradka
Correct
gap of 8 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bradach 1853 vs Zahradka 1791
Bradach
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bradach 60% vs Zahradka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bradach 40% vs Zahradka 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bradach -1 · Zahradka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bradach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBradach 2.10 / Zahradka 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zahradka)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135783
Bradach2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog57% won 25 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back35% 8 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Zahradka1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 79 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBradach4wins
AwayZahradka6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBradach37.5%3 of 8
AwayZahradkan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bradach8Zahradka2n = 10Bradach took 8 of 10
S2Bradach3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S3Bradach6Zahradka4n = 10Bradach took 6 of 10
S4Bradach2Zahradka5n = 7Zahradka took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBradachZahradkaB − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.535.9−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBradachZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 234 vs 430 / 89854.7%47.9%128 / 234 vs 430 / 898Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaBradach 2.10/Zahradka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.4%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 19:30P. Bradach3911311772M. Zahradka46711611113
LMay 7 · 21:28P. Bradach5011912992M. Zahradka485111011113
LMay 7 · 20:00P. Bradach33139651M. Zahradka44111111113
WMay 4 · 20:00P. Bradach331111113M. Zahradka195950
WFeb 24 · 18:30P. Bradach4281112113M. Zahradka301151041
LFeb 24 · 17:30P. Bradach2712870M. Zahradka361411113
LFeb 5 · 18:01P. Bradach31114881M. Zahradka4291111113
WFeb 5 · 15:30P. Bradach361213113M. Zahradka29101180
WFeb 4 · 22:00P. Bradach3911611113M. Zahradka25311471
LFeb 4 · 20:30P. Bradach25113561M. Zahradka4071111113
P. Bradach10
LSep 16 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.8041111113P. Bradach1.91116571WSep 16 · 18:00P. Bradach1.7311146133M. Huk2.0071211111WSep 7 · 20:59E. Mares1.3311101412122P. Bradach3.255121214143WSep 7 · 20:00P. Bradach2.75531112203E. Mares1.401111810182LSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772LSep 7 · 18:00P. Bradach1.803660J. Kycelt1.911111113LAug 19 · 21:03P. Bradach1.508860L. Prikasky2.501111113LAug 19 · 20:30P. Bradach1.33161181162L. Prikasky3.25188118113LAug 19 · 19:00P. Bradach2.637730E. Mares1.441111113WAug 19 · 18:00M. Parzhizek1.401181510142P. Bradach2.754111312163
M. Zahradka10
WSep 16 · 19:00M. Huk2.1081050M. Zahradka1.671112113LSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113LSep 15 · 21:30E. Mares1.281121013113M. Zahradka3.20811121162WSep 15 · 20:30M. Zahradka2.2011114113Z. Bilek1.61681141WSep 15 · 19:00M. Zahradka2.501111113V. Koubek1.507560LSep 15 · 18:00E. Mares1.2811911123M. Zahradka3.505116101LSep 13 · 20:59T. Kos1.308111011113M. Zahradka3.4011712882LSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872LSep 13 · 19:30M. Zahradka3.7512611131E. Mares1.2514119153WSep 7 · 19:30M. Zahradka1.57711611113P. Bradach2.2511311772
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