TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13143224
Played Sep 16Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311811711––––
Michal Zahradka
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 51 set 3, 7-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 29–40 Michal Zahradka Jiri Ruzicka has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Ruzicka beat Zahradka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 2.38 / Zahradka 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Zahradka)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13143224
Ruzicka2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 134 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back20% 42 of 213
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 113
Zahradka1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 79 of 148
Up 2–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka2wins
AwayZahradka8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka33.3%1 of 3
AwayZahradka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka3Zahradka7n = 10Zahradka took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka4Zahradka6n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka2Zahradka5n = 7Zahradka took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaZahradkaR − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.637.8−6.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime684 / 1412 vs 431 / 89948.4%47.9%684 / 1412 vs 431 / 899Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaRuzicka 2.38/Zahradka 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 10:30J. Ruzicka26116361M. Zahradka4291111113
LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka175480M. Zahradka331111113
LAug 27 · 18:30J. Ruzicka409119111M. Zahradka4111611133
WAug 24 · 16:58J. Ruzicka43111011113M. Zahradka30312781
LAug 24 · 14:30J. Ruzicka32871161M. Zahradka3911116113
LAug 6 · 03:00J. Ruzicka3751113262M. Zahradka531191111113
WAug 6 · 01:30J. Ruzicka45111111123M. Zahradka331328101
LAug 5 · 11:30J. Ruzicka187650M. Zahradka331111113
LAug 3 · 10:00J. Ruzicka239860M. Zahradka331111113
LAug 1 · 22:30J. Ruzicka35118791M. Zahradka4181111113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133WSep 16 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.8041111113P. Bradach1.91116571WSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113WSep 15 · 12:59J. Ruzicka1.4481111113R. Urbaniec2.63116751WSep 15 · 12:30J. Ruzicka1.5011117113R. Urbaniec2.50461161LSep 15 · 11:00J. Ruzicka1.611191191O. Kolisnyk2.2051113113LSep 15 · 10:00V. Svechota1.7312911113J. Ruzicka2.001011871LSep 15 · 09:28J. Ruzicka2.207131114102V. Svechota1.611115812123WSep 15 · 08:30R. Urbaniec2.25510110J. Ruzicka1.571112133LSep 15 · 07:30J. Ruzicka1.67101011121O. Kolisnyk2.1012127143
M. Zahradka10
WSep 16 · 22:00T. Postelt1.9111511762M. Zahradka1.80811711113WSep 16 · 20:00P. Bradach2.10981181M. Zahradka1.6711119113WSep 16 · 19:00M. Huk2.1081050M. Zahradka1.671112113LSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113LSep 15 · 21:30E. Mares1.281121013113M. Zahradka3.20811121162WSep 15 · 20:30M. Zahradka2.2011114113Z. Bilek1.61681141WSep 15 · 19:00M. Zahradka2.501111113V. Koubek1.507560LSep 15 · 18:00E. Mares1.2811911123M. Zahradka3.505116101LSep 13 · 20:59T. Kos1.308111011113M. Zahradka3.4011712882LSep 13 · 20:30T. Postelt1.91791711113M. Zahradka1.80111115872
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