TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11942076
Played May 26Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111412811611––
Ondrej Cmerda
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Ondrej Cmerda below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11
78 points played in total.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 6–13 Ondrej Cmerda Radim Urbaniec has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Cmerda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cmerda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 2.00 / Cmerda 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Cmerda)+3.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11942076
Urbaniec2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 139 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back21% 39 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 99
Cmerda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 55 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec3wins
AwayCmerda7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCmerda leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec42.9%3 of 7
AwayCmerda100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec7Cmerda3n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec4Cmerda6n = 10Cmerda took 6 of 10
S3Urbaniec5Cmerda5n = 10split evenly
S4Urbaniec2Cmerda5n = 7Cmerda took 5 of 7
S5Urbaniec0Cmerda3n = 3Cmerda took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecCmerdaU − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.838.8−2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecCmerdaBasisWin rate · lifetime623 / 1206 vs 300 / 58151.7%51.6%623 / 1206 vs 300 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmerdaUrbaniec 2.00/Cmerda 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Cmerda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cmerda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 11 · 18:30R. Urbaniec—3O. Cmerda—0
LMay 7 · 03:00R. Urbaniec—2O. Cmerda—3
LMay 7 · 01:30R. Urbaniec—1O. Cmerda—3
WApr 14 · 18:00R. Urbaniec—3O. Cmerda—0
LApr 9 · 03:28R. Urbaniec—0O. Cmerda—3
LApr 8 · 22:30R. Urbaniec—2O. Cmerda—3
WMar 22 · 21:00R. Urbaniec—3O. Cmerda—1
LFeb 22 · 21:00R. Urbaniec—1O. Cmerda—3
LFeb 12 · 03:30R. Urbaniec—1O. Cmerda—3
LFeb 9 · 22:30R. Urbaniec—2O. Cmerda—3
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.63119641R. Urbaniec1.4491111113LSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113LSep 16 · 17:30M. Jezek1.501111113R. Urbaniec2.405660LSep 16 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.6311841272M. Jezek1.449111110113WSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192WSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113LSep 15 · 12:59J. Ruzicka1.4481111113R. Urbaniec2.63116751LSep 15 · 12:30J. Ruzicka1.5011117113R. Urbaniec2.50461161LSep 15 · 11:30R. Urbaniec3.25811651V. Svechota1.3311911113
O. Cmerda10
LJun 10 · 02:00O. Cmerda2.00581141T. Franek1.7311114113WJun 10 · 01:00O. Cmerda1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.107850LJun 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.6712914113O. Cmerda2.1010111261LJun 9 · 22:30O. Svacha2.0081111113O. Cmerda1.73119761LMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113WMay 26 · 20:00M. Huk2.1011911882O. Cmerda1.67411511113WMay 26 · 19:00V. Nohejl2.001081131O. Cmerda1.7312118113WMay 26 · 18:30O. Cmerda1.73711711113R. Urbaniec2.0011911962LMay 26 · 17:30O. Cmerda2.25711791J. Ruzicka1.5711811113WMay 26 · 15:00A. Barton1.80118120O. Cmerda1.911311143
Upcoming Matches
R. Urbaniec
Sep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.75M. Pikous1.40—Sep 17 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.61J. Louda2.20—Sep 17 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.50A. Brazda2.50—Sep 18 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.80O. Svacha1.90—Sep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.10V. Nohejl1.65—Sep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec—O. Cmerda——Sep 18 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.20M. Hampl1.60—Sep 19 · 24:00R. Urbaniec2.60J. Ruzicka1.43—Sep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.80O. Svacha1.90—Sep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.45R. Rose1.48—
O. Cmerda
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