TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11942082
Played May 26Finished
Ondrej Cmerda
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119711119116
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingOndrej Cmerda above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6
93 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Cmerda 14–6 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 6 of their 20 meetings.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cmerda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cmerda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCmerda 1.73 / Urbaniec 2.00
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Cmerda)+5.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11942082
Cmerda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 55 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Urbaniec2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 139 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back21% 39 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 99
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCmerda7wins
AwayUrbaniec3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCmerda leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCmerda100%4 of 4
AwayUrbaniec50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cmerda4Urbaniec6n = 10Urbaniec took 6 of 10
S2Cmerda5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S3Cmerda6Urbaniec4n = 10Cmerda took 6 of 10
S4Cmerda5Urbaniec2n = 7Cmerda took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCmerdaUrbaniecC − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.0+2.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCmerdaUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 585 vs 623 / 120951.6%51.5%302 / 585 vs 623 / 1209Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmerdaCmerda 1.73/Urbaniec 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Cmerda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cmerda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 26 · 16:00O. Cmerda—3R. Urbaniec—1
LMay 11 · 18:30O. Cmerda—0R. Urbaniec—3
WMay 7 · 03:00O. Cmerda—3R. Urbaniec—2
WMay 7 · 01:30O. Cmerda—3R. Urbaniec—1
LApr 14 · 18:00O. Cmerda—0R. Urbaniec—3
WApr 9 · 03:28O. Cmerda—3R. Urbaniec—0
WApr 8 · 22:30O. Cmerda—3R. Urbaniec—2
LMar 22 · 21:00O. Cmerda—1R. Urbaniec—3
WFeb 22 · 21:00O. Cmerda—3R. Urbaniec—1
WFeb 12 · 03:30O. Cmerda—3R. Urbaniec—1
O. Cmerda10
LJun 10 · 02:00O. Cmerda2.00581141T. Franek1.7311114113WJun 10 · 01:00O. Cmerda1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.107850LJun 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.6712914113O. Cmerda2.1010111261LJun 9 · 22:30O. Svacha2.0081111113O. Cmerda1.73119761LMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113WMay 26 · 20:00M. Huk2.1011911882O. Cmerda1.67411511113WMay 26 · 19:00V. Nohejl2.001081131O. Cmerda1.7312118113LMay 26 · 17:30O. Cmerda2.25711791J. Ruzicka1.5711811113WMay 26 · 16:00R. Urbaniec2.00514861O. Cmerda1.73111211113WMay 26 · 15:00A. Barton1.80118120O. Cmerda1.911311143
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 17 · 11:30J. Zuzanek2.63119641R. Urbaniec1.4491111113LSep 17 · 10:00R. Urbaniec1.57311741R. Wagner2.2511811113LSep 16 · 17:30M. Jezek1.501111113R. Urbaniec2.405660LSep 16 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.6311841272M. Jezek1.449111110113WSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192WSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113LJun 10 · 01:00O. Cmerda1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.107850WMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113LMay 26 · 16:00R. Urbaniec2.00514861O. Cmerda1.73111211113
Upcoming Matches
O. Cmerda
R. Urbaniec
Sep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.75M. Pikous1.40—Sep 17 · 15:00R. Urbaniec1.61J. Louda2.20—Sep 17 · 16:00R. Urbaniec1.50A. Brazda2.50—Sep 18 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.80O. Svacha1.90—Sep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.10V. Nohejl1.65—Sep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec—O. Cmerda——Sep 18 · 22:30R. Urbaniec2.20M. Hampl1.60—Sep 19 · 24:00R. Urbaniec2.60J. Ruzicka1.43—Sep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.80O. Svacha1.90—Sep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.45R. Rose1.48—
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