TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11942085
Played May 26Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012811118311––
Ondrej Cmerda
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Ondrej Cmerda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 74 set 4, 3-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 2–4 Ondrej Cmerda Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Cmerda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cmerda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 2.00 / Cmerda 1.73
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Cmerda)+10.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11942085
Nohejl2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 76
Down 0–1, comes back30% 16 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Cmerda1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 55 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it89% 40 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeNohejl2wins
AwayCmerda4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderCmerda leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl33.3%1 of 3
AwayCmerda66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl3Cmerda3n = 6split evenly
S2Nohejl2Cmerda4n = 6Cmerda took 4 of 6
S3Nohejl4Cmerda2n = 6Nohejl took 4 of 6
S4Nohejl2Cmerda2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricNohejlCmerdaN − CBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.240.8−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlCmerdaBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 360 vs 302 / 58551.4%51.6%185 / 360 vs 302 / 585Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmerdaNohejl 2.00/Cmerda 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.7%
Cmerda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cmerda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WApr 27 · 19:30V. Nohejl—3O. Cmerda—1
WApr 6 · 16:00V. Nohejl—3O. Cmerda—0
LDec 15 · 21:30V. Nohejl—2O. Cmerda—3
LFeb 9 · 21:00V. Nohejl—1O. Cmerda—3
LFeb 6 · 20:00V. Nohejl—2O. Cmerda—3
LJan 23 · 15:00V. Nohejl—0O. Cmerda—3
V. Nohejl10
LSep 16 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.35118911133V. Nohejl2.95911119112WSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113LSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192LSep 16 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.91621151M. Jezek1.8011118113WSep 13 · 16:58J. Ruzicka1.801110941V. Nohejl1.9171211113LSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542LSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250LSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113
O. Cmerda10
LJun 10 · 02:00O. Cmerda2.00581141T. Franek1.7311114113WJun 10 · 01:00O. Cmerda1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.107850LJun 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.6712914113O. Cmerda2.1010111261LJun 9 · 22:30O. Svacha2.0081111113O. Cmerda1.73119761LMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113WMay 26 · 20:00M. Huk2.1011911882O. Cmerda1.67411511113WMay 26 · 18:30O. Cmerda1.73711711113R. Urbaniec2.0011911962LMay 26 · 17:30O. Cmerda2.25711791J. Ruzicka1.5711811113WMay 26 · 16:00R. Urbaniec2.00514861O. Cmerda1.73111211113WMay 26 · 15:00A. Barton1.80118120O. Cmerda1.911311143
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