TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135674
Played Sep 16Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411911118118611
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 63.7% is still 63.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
63.7%
63.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 63.7%
90 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 5–4 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1806 vs Nohejl 1680
Kolisnyk
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Nohejl 20%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 50% vs Nohejl 30%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk +1 · Nohejl -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kolisnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.50 / Nohejl 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135674
Kolisnyk1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 80 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 63 of 78
Nohejl2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 16 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back26% 6 of 23
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolisnyk5wins
AwayNohejl4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk80%4 of 5
AwayNohejl75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk5Nohejl4n = 9Kolisnyk took 5 of 9
S2Kolisnyk3Nohejl6n = 9Nohejl took 6 of 9
S3Kolisnyk4Nohejl5n = 9Nohejl took 5 of 9
S4Kolisnyk3Nohejl2n = 5Kolisnyk took 3 of 5
S5Kolisnyk3Nohejl1n = 4Kolisnyk took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolisnykNohejlK − NBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match35.437.3−1.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime552 / 1091 vs 170 / 31350.6%54.3%552 / 1091 vs 170 / 313Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.50/Nohejl 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk331111113V. Nohejl158250
WAug 28 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk45126133113V. Nohejl511011111182
LJul 23 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk239770V. Nohejl331111113
LJul 5 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk182880V. Nohejl331111113
WJul 5 · 07:00O. Kolisnyk548111013123V. Nohejl511171211102
LJul 4 · 13:30O. Kolisnyk28114761V. Nohejl4291111113
WJul 4 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk331111113V. Nohejl175480
WMay 24 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk43126113113V. Nohejl511011111182
LApr 26 · 07:00O. Kolisnyk4247111192V. Nohejl43111137113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 16 · 15:30M. Jezek1.6711851152O. Kolisnyk2.10911116113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113LSep 15 · 13:29O. Kolisnyk1.8351181172V. Svechota1.83118119113WSep 15 · 12:00V. Svechota1.8345121162O. Kolisnyk1.831111109113WSep 15 · 11:00J. Ruzicka1.611191191O. Kolisnyk2.2051113113WSep 15 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk1.8011117113R. Urbaniec1.91681171LSep 15 · 09:00O. Kolisnyk1.61791191R. Urbaniec2.2011117113LSep 15 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.83117101162V. Svechota1.83711126113WSep 15 · 07:30J. Ruzicka1.67101011121O. Kolisnyk2.1012127143LSep 15 · 06:00O. Kolisnyk1.7311651262R. Urbaniec2.009111110113
V. Nohejl10
LSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192LSep 16 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.91621151M. Jezek1.8011118113WSep 13 · 16:58J. Ruzicka1.801110941V. Nohejl1.9171211113LSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542LSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250LSep 13 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.807980J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 10 · 17:00O. Svacha2.631011431V. Nohejl1.4412511113LSep 10 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.611171071A. Brazda2.2041112113LSep 10 · 15:30O. Svacha3.0091111113V. Nohejl1.36116551WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.57651211113R. Urbaniec2.25111110942
Upcoming Matches
O. Kolisnyk
Sep 17 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.83M. Huk1.83—Sep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.57J. Kanera2.25—Sep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50J. Simecek2.50—Sep 17 · 22:00O. Kolisnyk1.61M. Wagner2.20—Sep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.20J. Ruzicka1.61—Sep 18 · 01:00O. Kolisnyk1.50J. Simecek2.50—Sep 18 · 02:30O. Kolisnyk1.61A. Barton2.20—
V. Nohejl
Nothing scheduled
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