TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135623
Played Sep 16Finished
Michal Jezek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811511116511
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Jezek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Jezek above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Michal Jezek at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Michal Jezek 19–13 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 13 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Jezek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-13 in 32
Jezek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jezek 1792 vs Kolisnyk 1795
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jezek 60% vs Kolisnyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jezek 70% vs Kolisnyk 50%
Jezek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jezek +2 · Kolisnyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jezek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJezek 1.67 / Kolisnyk 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jezek)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13135623
Jezek1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 16 of 28
Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it67% 10 of 15
Kolisnyk2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 74 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back22% 20 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJezek6wins
AwayKolisnyk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJezek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJezek75%6 of 8
AwayKolisnykn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jezek8Kolisnyk2n = 10Jezek took 8 of 10
S2Jezek6Kolisnyk4n = 10Jezek took 6 of 10
S3Jezek3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S4Jezek6Kolisnyk4n = 10Jezek took 6 of 10
S5Jezek1Kolisnyk2n = 3Kolisnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJezekKolisnykJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match41.338.4+2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJezekKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 354 vs 551 / 109150.9%50.5%180 / 354 vs 551 / 1091Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JezekJezek 1.67/Kolisnyk 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jezek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 15:00M. Jezek361212841O. Kolisnyk46101411113
WAug 18 · 14:00M. Jezek4113116113O. Kolisnyk321191111
WJun 17 · 15:30M. Jezek4111136113O. Kolisnyk334111171
LMar 17 · 15:00M. Jezek4261111772O. Kolisnyk42116311113
LMar 5 · 15:00M. Jezek4411771182O. Kolisnyk48911116113
WFeb 6 · 15:00M. Jezek50119119103O. Kolisnyk4391141182
WFeb 3 · 17:00M. Jezek4211118123O. Kolisnyk312811101
LDec 6 · 13:30M. Jezek381011891O. Kolisnyk3812411113
WNov 26 · 15:00M. Jezek4413911113O. Kolisnyk361111951
WNov 25 · 17:52M. Jezek3511112113O. Kolisnyk35891171
M. Jezek10
WSep 16 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.91621151M. Jezek1.8011118113WSep 9 · 17:00R. Urbaniec1.8356100M. Jezek1.831111123LSep 9 · 16:30M. Jezek1.915260J. Ruzicka1.801111113LSep 9 · 15:00M. Jezek1.731212841O. Kolisnyk2.00101411113WSep 9 · 14:00R. Urbaniec1.831011761M. Jezek1.7812711113WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571
O. Kolisnyk10
LSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113LSep 15 · 13:29O. Kolisnyk1.8351181172V. Svechota1.83118119113WSep 15 · 12:00V. Svechota1.8345121162O. Kolisnyk1.831111109113WSep 15 · 11:00J. Ruzicka1.611191191O. Kolisnyk2.2051113113WSep 15 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk1.8011117113R. Urbaniec1.91681171LSep 15 · 09:00O. Kolisnyk1.61791191R. Urbaniec2.2011117113LSep 15 · 08:00O. Kolisnyk1.83117101162V. Svechota1.83711126113WSep 15 · 07:30J. Ruzicka1.67101011121O. Kolisnyk2.1012127143WSep 9 · 15:00M. Jezek1.731212841O. Kolisnyk2.00101411113
Upcoming Matches
M. Jezek
Nothing scheduled
O. Kolisnyk
Sep 17 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.83M. Huk1.83—Sep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.57J. Kanera2.25—Sep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50J. Simecek2.50—Sep 17 · 22:00O. Kolisnyk1.61M. Wagner2.20—Sep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.20J. Ruzicka1.61—Sep 18 · 01:00O. Kolisnyk1.50J. Simecek2.50—Sep 18 · 02:30O. Kolisnyk1.61A. Barton2.20—
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