TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153202
Played Sep 19Finished
Radim Urbaniec
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114115117––––
Jiri Louda
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:05 and never touched — 63.2% is still 63.2%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
63.2%
63.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Urbaniec above · Jiri Louda below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-5
Point 43 set 3, 7-5 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 63.2%
43 points drawn · the score is 6 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Radim Urbaniec 35–19 Jiri Louda Jiri Louda has won 19 of their 54 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:05What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-19 in 54
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 16 in 54, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Urbaniec 1702 vs Louda 1677
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Urbaniec 40% vs Louda 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Urbaniec 50% vs Louda 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Urbaniec -1 · Louda +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUrbaniec 1.57 / Louda 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153202
Urbaniec1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 186 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it78% 126 of 162
Louda2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 17)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 54 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUrbaniec7wins
AwayLouda3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUrbaniec100%3 of 3
AwayLouda42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Urbaniec3Louda7n = 10Louda took 7 of 10
S2Urbaniec7Louda3n = 10Urbaniec took 7 of 10
S3Urbaniec9Louda1n = 10Urbaniec took 9 of 10
S4Urbaniec5Louda2n = 7Urbaniec took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUrbaniecLoudaU − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.735.2+3.5per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUrbaniecLoudaBasisWin rate · lifetime644 / 1270 vs 614 / 120350.7%51%644 / 1270 vs 614 / 1203Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecUrbaniec 1.57/Louda 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 15:00R. Urbaniec43101111113J. Louda30127831
LSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec4789111182J. Louda45111184113
WAug 30 · 16:59R. Urbaniec3631111113J. Louda31116951
LAug 30 · 16:30R. Urbaniec32571191J. Louda4211119113
WAug 28 · 19:00R. Urbaniec331111113J. Louda249870
LAug 18 · 20:00R. Urbaniec38616791J. Louda47111411113
WJul 14 · 17:30R. Urbaniec47581112113J. Louda47111171082
WJul 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec4561511133J. Louda4311138111
WMay 30 · 18:00R. Urbaniec331111113J. Louda218670
WMay 15 · 20:58R. Urbaniec331111113J. Louda225980
R. Urbaniec10
LSep 19 · 02:59R. Urbaniec2.3811812792R. Rose1.538111011113WSep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.50141173113R. Rose1.50126111182WSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682LSep 19 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.44111111113R. Urbaniec2.63691361LSep 18 · 22:30M. Hampl1.801061111113R. Urbaniec1.9112119592LSep 18 · 17:30V. Nohejl1.671111117123R. Urbaniec2.10713511102WSep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.831311113O. Cmerda1.8311560LSep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.1011891172V. Nohejl1.67711115113WSep 18 · 14:00O. Svacha2.50951161R. Urbaniec1.5011116113WSep 17 · 17:28R. Urbaniec1.8311139113M. Pikous1.835111191
J. Louda10
WSep 17 · 16:58J. Louda1.501111133A. Brazda2.5073110LSep 17 · 16:30J. Louda1.737740M. Pikous2.001111113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113WSep 17 · 14:00A. Brazda2.509870J. Louda1.501111113LSep 14 · 03:30J. Louda2.5571070J. Ruzicka1.431112113LSep 14 · 02:00O. Svacha1.36111163113J. Louda3.0065111182WSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102WSep 13 · 23:00J. Louda2.6311711113J. Ruzicka1.44711991WSep 13 · 22:00R. Urbaniec1.5389111182J. Louda2.38111184113WSep 13 · 03:00M. Regner1.8310280J. Louda1.831211113
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