TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13155049
Played Sep 18Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11711131157111210
Radim Urbaniec
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10
98 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 17–13 Radim Urbaniec Radim Urbaniec has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Nohejl beat Urbaniec 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.67 / Urbaniec 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13155049
Nohejl1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 60 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 45 of 58
Urbaniec2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 180 of 454
Down 0–1, comes back21% 54 of 257
Down 0–2, comes back6% 8 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl5wins
AwayUrbaniec5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl57.1%4 of 7
AwayUrbaniec66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl7Urbaniec3n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S2Nohejl5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S3Nohejl5Urbaniec5n = 10split evenly
S4Nohejl4Urbaniec3n = 7Nohejl took 4 of 7
S5Nohejl1Urbaniec3n = 4Urbaniec took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlUrbaniecN − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.1+2.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 314 vs 642 / 126455.4%50.8%174 / 314 vs 642 / 1264Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.67/Urbaniec 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 15:00V. Nohejl50119101192R. Urbaniec48711127113
WSep 10 · 14:00V. Nohejl45651211113R. Urbaniec45111110942
WAug 28 · 18:30V. Nohejl351111133R. Urbaniec2467110
WAug 19 · 17:30V. Nohejl48141112113R. Urbaniec391261471
WAug 19 · 16:30V. Nohejl331111113R. Urbaniec187830
LAug 5 · 16:59V. Nohejl2151060R. Urbaniec341112113
WAug 5 · 15:30V. Nohejl3811115113R. Urbaniec27651151
LJul 10 · 18:00V. Nohejl361081171R. Urbaniec4012116113
LMay 28 · 15:00V. Nohejl4211114882R. Urbaniec46851111113
LMay 26 · 20:30V. Nohejl46118111062R. Urbaniec50811812113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143WSep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.1011891172V. Nohejl1.67711115113WSep 18 · 14:30V. Nohejl2.751391211113O. Cmerda1.40151110582LSep 16 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.35118911133V. Nohejl2.95911119112WSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113LSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192LSep 16 · 14:30V. Nohejl1.91621151M. Jezek1.8011118113WSep 13 · 16:58J. Ruzicka1.801110941V. Nohejl1.9171211113LSep 13 · 16:00J. Jr1.44811711113V. Nohejl2.6311911542LSep 13 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.911111113V. Nohejl1.808250
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.831311113O. Cmerda1.8311560LSep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.1011891172V. Nohejl1.67711115113WSep 18 · 14:00O. Svacha2.50951161R. Urbaniec1.5011116113WSep 17 · 17:28R. Urbaniec1.8311139113M. Pikous1.835111191WSep 17 · 16:00A. Brazda2.5097111162R. Urbaniec1.50111177113WSep 17 · 15:00J. Louda2.20127831R. Urbaniec1.61101111113WSep 17 · 14:30R. Urbaniec2.7512114113M. Pikous1.401041171WSep 17 · 13:30R. Urbaniec1.3311711113M. Sychra3.25511771WSep 17 · 12:00R. Urbaniec1.361111113M. Sychra3.008140WSep 16 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.20711127113V. Nohejl1.61119101192
Upcoming Matches
V. Nohejl
Nothing scheduled
R. Urbaniec
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