TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153972
Played Sep 19Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911112115117––
Jakub Tazler
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Svacha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Jakub Tazler below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 10-7
Point 66 set 4, 10-7 — our read held Ondrej Svacha at 54.0%
66 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 4–0 Jakub Tazler Jakub Tazler has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Svacha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Svacha
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1697 vs Tazler 1631
Svacha
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 60% vs Tazler 40%
Svacha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 50% vs Tazler 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha +1 · Tazler -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Svacha) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 1.20 / Tazler 4.33
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Svacha)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153972
Svacha1.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 92 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it77% 73 of 95
Tazler4.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 100 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSvacha4wins
AwayTazler0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSvacha leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvacha100%3 of 3
AwayTazlern = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha3Tazler1n = 4Svacha took 3 of 4
S2Svacha3Tazler1n = 4Svacha took 3 of 4
S3Svacha2Tazler2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSvachaTazlerS − TBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match39.029.0+10.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaTazlerBasisWin rate · lifetime391 / 775 vs 393 / 72150.5%54.5%391 / 775 vs 393 / 721Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvachaSvacha 1.20/Tazler 4.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.1%
Svacha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 15 · 23:00O. Svacha46125711113J. Tazler40101111442
WJul 12 · 20:58O. Svacha331111113J. Tazler133550
WJul 12 · 18:00O. Svacha44211911113J. Tazler4311511882
WJul 12 · 02:00O. Svacha331111113J. Tazler205690
O. Svacha10
WSep 19 · 19:00J. Louda3.001011881O. Svacha1.3612911113WSep 19 · 03:30J. Ruzicka2.006880O. Svacha1.731111113LSep 19 · 02:30J. Ruzicka2.00149119133O. Svacha1.731211211112LSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682WSep 18 · 23:30O. Svacha2.10111011113M. Hampl1.67912291WSep 18 · 22:00O. Svacha1.33101111113R. Rose3.25129391WSep 18 · 17:00O. Cmerda2.0011118572O. Svacha1.73861111113LSep 18 · 16:00O. Svacha2.758116121V. Nohejl1.4011411143LSep 18 · 15:30O. Cmerda1.831081111113O. Svacha1.8312116552LSep 18 · 14:00O. Svacha2.50951161R. Urbaniec1.5011116113
J. Tazler10
LSep 19 · 19:30J. Tazler4.00691111112R. Urbaniec1.22111137133LSep 19 · 09:28J. Tazler2.50111110872M. Wagner1.50591211113WSep 19 · 08:30J. Tazler2.1011913113O. Cmerda1.678111171LSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113WSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny1.501110101112J. Tazler2.50512126113LSep 18 · 16:59J. Tazler1.67511131192D. Hofman2.10119155113WSep 18 · 16:30D. Hofman2.00471171J. Tazler1.7311119113LSep 18 · 15:30J. Tazler2.2091111282V. Vejvoda1.61115511113LSep 18 · 14:30M. Vondrak1.6111117113J. Tazler2.20781161LSep 17 · 09:28R. Wagner1.9111136133J. Tazler1.8031111111
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