TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13158685
Played Sep 19Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1151191012811711
Mark Robin Wagner
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Mark Robin Wagner below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 95 set 5, 7-11
95 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 2–6 Mark Robin Wagner Jakub Tazler has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Wagner beat Tazler 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Wagner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tazler form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 2.50 / Wagner 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Wagner)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13158685
Tazler2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog49% won 100 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 57
Wagner1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 49 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTazler2wins
AwayWagner6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderWagner leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazler50%2 of 4
AwayWagner100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler4Wagner4n = 8split evenly
S2Tazler4Wagner4n = 8split evenly
S3Tazler3Wagner5n = 8Wagner took 5 of 8
S4Tazler2Wagner3n = 5Wagner took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricTazlerWagnerT − WBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match36.136.9−0.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 724 vs 96 / 17354.3%55.5%393 / 724 vs 96 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WagnerTazler 2.50/Wagner 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Wagner · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler411114971M. Wagner4571611113
LAug 31 · 08:00J. Tazler29311781M. Wagner4011711113
WAug 20 · 24:00J. Tazler351311113M. Wagner2811890
LAug 14 · 02:58J. Tazler49128811102M. Wagner471011113123
LAug 14 · 24:00J. Tazler4599111152M. Wagner42111145113
LJul 23 · 03:30J. Tazler32811761M. Wagner3911611113
LJul 23 · 02:30J. Tazler258890M. Wagner331111113
WJul 20 · 11:30J. Tazler331111113M. Wagner217590
J. Tazler10
WSep 19 · 08:30J. Tazler2.1011913113O. Cmerda1.678111171LSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113WSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny1.501110101112J. Tazler2.50512126113LSep 18 · 16:59J. Tazler1.67511131192D. Hofman2.10119155113WSep 18 · 16:30D. Hofman2.00471171J. Tazler1.7311119113LSep 18 · 15:30J. Tazler2.2091111282V. Vejvoda1.61115511113LSep 18 · 14:30M. Vondrak1.6111117113J. Tazler2.20781161LSep 17 · 09:28R. Wagner1.9111136133J. Tazler1.8031111111WSep 17 · 08:00R. Wagner1.831171071J. Tazler1.8351112113WSep 17 · 07:00M. Regner1.671261261J. Tazler2.10101114113
M. Wagner10
LSep 19 · 10:00M. Wagner1.73119691F. Pusch2.0051111113WSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113LSep 19 · 06:30M. Wagner1.9141580O. Cmerda1.801117113LSep 18 · 03:30O. Kolisnyk1.57111111113M. Wagner2.25136581WSep 18 · 02:00J. Simecek1.67251161M. Wagner2.1011114113WSep 18 · 24:30M. Wagner1.911111113J. Ruzicka1.807970WSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192LSep 17 · 22:00O. Kolisnyk1.6161111123M. Wagner2.201199101LSep 14 · 02:58R. Urbaniec2.381111113M. Wagner1.537890
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