TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140516
Played Sep 18Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119117––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 1–1 Jiri Ruzicka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:32What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1680 vs Ruzicka 1797
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 117 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 20% vs Ruzicka 40%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 40% vs Ruzicka 60%
Ruzicka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner +1 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.91 / Ruzicka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ruzicka)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140516
Wagner1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 30 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back38% 11 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Ruzicka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 167 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 91 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it77% 125 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeWagner1wins
AwayRuzicka1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricWagnerRuzickaW − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match40.538.5+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime92 / 167 vs 688 / 142055.1%48.5%92 / 167 vs 688 / 1420Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaWagner 1.91/Ruzicka 1.80
Miss
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wagner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 10 · 03:30M. Wagner47111114113J. Ruzicka371371251
LSep 9 · 23:00M. Wagner348101151J. Ruzicka4011126113
M. Wagner10
WSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192LSep 17 · 22:00O. Kolisnyk1.6161111123M. Wagner2.201199101LSep 14 · 02:58R. Urbaniec2.381111113M. Wagner1.537890LSep 14 · 01:30M. Wagner1.8011771142J. Ruzicka1.91911116113LSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102LSep 13 · 23:30R. Urbaniec2.63111282113M. Wagner1.44710111182WSep 13 · 22:30M. Wagner1.8081111113O. Svacha1.91116861WSep 12 · 08:58M. Wagner1.671114113V. Vejvoda2.1061280LSep 12 · 08:30O. Svacha2.1013113113M. Wagner1.671181191WSep 12 · 07:30M. Wagner1.8311116113V. Vejvoda1.83961161
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.001111113J. Ruzicka1.735620WSep 17 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.611111123J. Simecek2.2087100LSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113WSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113LSep 16 · 21:28J. Ruzicka2.383870M. Zahradka1.531111113WSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133WSep 14 · 01:30M. Wagner1.8011771142J. Ruzicka1.91911116113
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