TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140320
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116112––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:41 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 46 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 58.1%
46 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 52–72 Jiri Ruzicka Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 52 of their 124 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:41What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-72 in 124
Ruzicka
Wrong
gap of 20 in 124, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1830 vs Ruzicka 1810
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 80% vs Ruzicka 60%
Kolisnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Ruzicka 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk +4 · Ruzicka +1
Kolisnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 2.00 / Ruzicka 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ruzicka)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140320
Kolisnyk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 75 of 168
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 53
Ruzicka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 167 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 91 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it77% 125 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk6wins
AwayRuzicka4wins
Kolisnyk leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk100%5 of 5
AwayRuzicka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Kolisnyk6Ruzicka4n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S3Kolisnyk4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Kolisnyk5Ruzicka2n = 7Kolisnyk took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykRuzickaK − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.10.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime554 / 1092 vs 688 / 141950.7%48.5%554 / 1092 vs 688 / 1419Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaKolisnyk 2.00/Ruzicka 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk4051113113J. Ruzicka401191191
WSep 15 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk4512127143J. Ruzicka43101011121
WSep 13 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk46111210133J. Ruzicka4071012111
LSep 12 · 20:00O. Kolisnyk369115111J. Ruzicka4011511133
WSep 12 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk331111113J. Ruzicka248970
LSep 11 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk31911110J. Ruzicka371113133
LSep 9 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2913970J. Ruzicka371511113
LSep 9 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk376111191J. Ruzicka4411913113
WAug 29 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk4012511123J. Ruzicka4010119101
WAug 27 · 20:58O. Kolisnyk44111011123J. Ruzicka367127101
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 17 · 22:00O. Kolisnyk1.6161111123M. Wagner2.201199101WSep 17 · 17:30M. Huk1.57411581O. Kolisnyk2.2511711113WSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481WSep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.5011119113J. Kanera2.50591171LSep 17 · 14:00M. Huk1.73811311133O. Kolisnyk2.00117118112WSep 16 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.35118911133V. Nohejl2.95911119112LSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113WSep 16 · 15:30M. Jezek1.6711851152O. Kolisnyk2.10911116113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113LSep 15 · 13:29O. Kolisnyk1.8351181172V. Svechota1.83118119113
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 18 · 24:30M. Wagner1.911111113J. Ruzicka1.807970WSep 17 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.611111123J. Simecek2.2087100LSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113WSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113LSep 16 · 21:28J. Ruzicka2.383870M. Zahradka1.531111113WSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133WSep 16 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.8041111113P. Bradach1.91116571
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