TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140642
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101012114118––
Jan Simecek
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:52 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Jan Simecek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 62.5%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 5–5 Jan Simecek Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:52What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolisnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-5 in 10
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1787 vs Simecek 1671
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Simecek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Simecek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk +1 · Simecek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kolisnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.50 / Simecek 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140642
Kolisnyk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 81 of 137
Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it81% 64 of 79
Simecek2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog44% won 53 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk5wins
AwaySimecek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk66.7%4 of 6
AwaySimecek75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk6Simecek4n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S2Kolisnyk6Simecek4n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S3Kolisnyk5Simecek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kolisnyk2Simecek3n = 5Simecek took 3 of 5
S5Kolisnyk1Simecek2n = 3Simecek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykSimecekK − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.734.3−0.6per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime553 / 1093 vs 108 / 21550.6%50.2%553 / 1093 vs 108 / 215Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.50/Simecek 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 09:28O. Kolisnyk45111175112J. Simecek47571111133
WAug 7 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk371511113J. Simecek3013890
LAug 3 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk4361171182J. Simecek47118116113
WAug 3 · 07:00O. Kolisnyk331111113J. Simecek185850
WJul 27 · 09:00O. Kolisnyk45116115123J. Simecek40211611102
WJul 27 · 07:00O. Kolisnyk4071111113J. Simecek34116981
LJun 8 · 01:30O. Kolisnyk166640J. Simecek331111113
WJun 5 · 07:00O. Kolisnyk331111113J. Simecek209830
LMar 19 · 08:30O. Kolisnyk23115161J. Simecek4181111113
LMar 9 · 11:30O. Kolisnyk225980J. Simecek331111113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 17 · 17:30M. Huk1.57411581O. Kolisnyk2.2511711113WSep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.5011119113J. Kanera2.50591171LSep 17 · 14:00M. Huk1.73811311133O. Kolisnyk2.00117118112WSep 16 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.35118911133V. Nohejl2.95911119112LSep 16 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.5049111162V. Nohejl2.50111188113WSep 16 · 15:30M. Jezek1.6711851152O. Kolisnyk2.10911116113LSep 16 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk1.6151181182R. Urbaniec2.20119118113LSep 15 · 13:29O. Kolisnyk1.8351181172V. Svechota1.83118119113WSep 15 · 12:00V. Svechota1.8345121162O. Kolisnyk1.831111109113WSep 15 · 11:00J. Ruzicka1.611191191O. Kolisnyk2.2051113113
J. Simecek10
LSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 15:30J. Simecek2.63149481M. Huk1.44121111113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113
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