TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140328
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Simecek
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412911411811––
Martin Huk
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Simecek above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 80 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Martin Huk at 66.9%
80 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek 4–10 Martin Huk Jan Simecek has won 4 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:52What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Huk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-10 in 14
Huk
Correct
gap of 6 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1687 vs Huk 1800
Huk
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 80% vs Huk 100%
Huk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 80% vs Huk 60%
Simecek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek +2 · Huk +5
Huk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Huk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 2.63 / Huk 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Huk)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140328
Simecek2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog44% won 53 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Huk1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 147 of 271
Up 2–0, closes it96% 65 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it75% 110 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSimecek2wins
AwayHuk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHuk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecek33.3%1 of 3
AwayHuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek3Huk7n = 10Huk took 7 of 10
S2Simecek5Huk5n = 10split evenly
S3Simecek2Huk8n = 10Huk took 8 of 10
S4Simecek2Huk5n = 7Huk took 5 of 7
S5Simecek1Huk2n = 3Huk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricSimecekHukS − HBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.841.7−5.9per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekHukBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 214 vs 798 / 162650.5%49.1%108 / 214 vs 798 / 1626Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HukSimecek 2.63/Huk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Huk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 27 · 13:00J. Simecek4211119113M. Huk36891181
LJul 27 · 12:30J. Simecek29411771M. Huk4011711113
LJul 27 · 08:00J. Simecek3911181182M. Huk43211118113
LJul 20 · 17:04J. Simecek379116111M. Huk4111611133
WJul 20 · 15:30J. Simecek55813119143M. Huk541111911122
LJun 8 · 02:30J. Simecek4391411362M. Huk541112911113
LJun 5 · 11:00J. Simecek185580M. Huk331111113
LJun 5 · 08:59J. Simecek4611913131M. Huk4981115153
LJun 5 · 08:00J. Simecek249690M. Huk331111113
LJun 1 · 14:30J. Simecek2581070M. Huk341112113
J. Simecek10
LSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481WSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113
M. Huk10
LSep 17 · 17:30M. Huk1.57411581O. Kolisnyk2.2511711113WSep 17 · 16:00M. Huk2.00612116113J. Kanera1.73111091192WSep 17 · 14:00M. Huk1.73811311133O. Kolisnyk2.00117118112WSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 01:30M. Huk2.501113113E. Mares1.5091170WSep 17 · 24:30M. Zahradka1.73119831M. Huk2.0071111113WSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113WSep 16 · 21:03P. Bradach2.639131091M. Huk1.44111112113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133
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