TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140528
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Huk
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111210119611119
Jan Kanera
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kanera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Jan Kanera below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Kanera at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 26–39 Jan Kanera Martin Huk has won 26 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:33What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kanera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-39 in 65
Kanera
Wrong
gap of 13 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1815 vs Kanera 1731
Huk
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 100% vs Kanera 20%
Huk
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 70% vs Kanera 50%
Huk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +5 · Kanera -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanera form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.00 / Kanera 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Huk)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140528
Huk2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 118 of 281
Down 0–1, comes back25% 39 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 77
Kanera1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 57 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk4wins
AwayKanera6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKanera leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk66.7%4 of 6
AwayKanera100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk6Kanera4n = 10Huk took 6 of 10
S2Huk7Kanera3n = 10Huk took 7 of 10
S3Huk5Kanera5n = 10split evenly
S4Huk2Kanera6n = 8Kanera took 6 of 8
S5Huk1Kanera3n = 4Kanera took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukKaneraH − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.340.0+0.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime799 / 1627 vs 267 / 57449.1%46.5%799 / 1627 vs 267 / 574Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaneraHuk 2.00/Kanera 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kanera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 06:00M. Huk49117111192J. Kanera50711138113
LJul 30 · 15:00M. Huk43111174102J. Kanera42621111123
WJul 25 · 17:00M. Huk401712113J. Kanera34151090
WJul 25 · 14:00M. Huk4211117133J. Kanera366811111
WJul 23 · 14:00M. Huk331111113J. Kanera187740
LJul 18 · 06:30M. Huk411581171J. Kanera4717118113
LJul 5 · 06:00M. Huk40981851J. Kanera49111116113
LMay 28 · 17:29M. Huk29611481J. Kanera3611311113
LMay 28 · 16:00M. Huk3691111232J. Kanera45114811113
WMay 24 · 09:30M. Huk50111198113J. Kanera4366111192
M. Huk10
WSep 17 · 15:30J. Simecek2.63149481M. Huk1.44121111113WSep 17 · 14:00M. Huk1.73811311133O. Kolisnyk2.00117118112WSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 01:30M. Huk2.501113113E. Mares1.5091170WSep 17 · 24:30M. Zahradka1.73119831M. Huk2.0071111113WSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113WSep 16 · 21:03P. Bradach2.639131091M. Huk1.44111112113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133LSep 16 · 19:00M. Huk2.1081050M. Zahradka1.671112113
J. Kanera10
WSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.5011119113J. Kanera2.50591171LSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123LSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991LSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113WSep 12 · 14:30J. Kanera1.8011913113J. Ruzicka1.916111191WSep 10 · 17:29J. Kanera1.9111116113P. Gireth1.80851171WSep 10 · 16:30P. Gireth1.53711851J. Kanera2.3811511113LSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113
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