TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147703
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Simecek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911113511711––
Jan Kanera
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingJan Simecek above · Jan Kanera below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 68 set 4, 7-11
68 points played in total.
H2H Jan Simecek 8–5 Jan Kanera Jan Kanera has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Simecek beat Kanera 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanera form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.83 / Kanera 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kanera)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147703
Simecek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Kanera1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSimecek7wins
AwayKanera3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSimecek leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecek100%3 of 3
AwayKanera42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek3Kanera7n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10
S2Simecek5Kanera5n = 10split evenly
S3Simecek7Kanera3n = 10Simecek took 7 of 10
S4Simecek7Kanera3n = 10Simecek took 7 of 10
S5Simecek3Kanera1n = 4Simecek took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSimecekKaneraS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.841.2+1.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 216 vs 267 / 57550%46.4%108 / 216 vs 267 / 575Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaneraSimecek 1.83/Kanera 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kanera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 14:30J. Simecek4111711123J. Kanera335117101
LAug 20 · 16:59J. Simecek47121151362J. Kanera551481111113
LAug 20 · 16:30J. Simecek37791291J. Kanera43111110113
LJul 20 · 12:30J. Simecek35881181J. Kanera4211119113
WJul 16 · 17:00J. Simecek3631111113J. Kanera25114641
WJul 16 · 15:00J. Simecek521111811113J. Kanera4491311652
WJul 9 · 15:30J. Simecek501216011113J. Kanera531014111352
WJul 6 · 12:30J. Simecek3961111113J. Kanera30117841
WJun 18 · 17:00J. Simecek4061112113J. Kanera361191061
WJun 18 · 14:30J. Simecek51961112133J. Kanera511111810112
J. Simecek10
LSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481LSep 17 · 15:30J. Simecek2.63149481M. Huk1.44121111113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113
J. Kanera10
LSep 17 · 16:00M. Huk2.00612116113J. Kanera1.73111091192LSep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.5011119113J. Kanera2.50591171LSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123LSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991LSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113WSep 12 · 14:30J. Kanera1.8011913113J. Ruzicka1.916111191WSep 10 · 17:29J. Kanera1.9111116113P. Gireth1.80851171WSep 10 · 16:30P. Gireth1.53711851J. Kanera2.3811511113LSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113
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