TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140354
Played Sep 17Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5111177111012––
Jan Simecek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kanera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Jan Simecek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 74 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jan Kanera at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 4–7 Jan Simecek Jan Kanera has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:52What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kanera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Simecek
Correct
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1756 vs Simecek 1672
Kanera
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 60% vs Simecek 80%
Simecek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 60% vs Simecek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera -2 · Simecek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 1.80 / Simecek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kanera)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140354
Kanera1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 57 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Simecek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 53 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera3wins
AwaySimecek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSimecek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera42.9%3 of 7
AwaySimecek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera7Simecek3n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10
S2Kanera5Simecek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kanera2Simecek8n = 10Simecek took 8 of 10
S4Kanera4Simecek5n = 9Simecek took 5 of 9
S5Kanera0Simecek3n = 3Simecek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraSimecekK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.240.3−1.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime268 / 576 vs 107 / 21346.5%50.2%268 / 576 vs 107 / 213Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.636.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaneraKanera 1.80/Simecek 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kanera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Simecek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 16:30J. Kanera43111110113J. Simecek37791291
WJul 20 · 12:30J. Kanera4211119113J. Simecek35881181
LJul 16 · 17:00J. Kanera25114641J. Simecek3631111113
LJul 16 · 15:00J. Kanera4491311652J. Simecek521111811113
LJul 9 · 15:30J. Kanera531014111352J. Simecek501216011113
LJul 6 · 12:30J. Kanera30117841J. Simecek3961111113
LJun 18 · 17:00J. Kanera361191061J. Simecek4061112113
LJun 18 · 14:30J. Kanera511111810112J. Simecek51961112133
LMay 21 · 14:30J. Kanera2671090J. Simecek341112113
WMay 14 · 16:00J. Kanera4211119113J. Simecek29571161
J. Kanera10
WSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 16:00M. Huk2.00612116113J. Kanera1.73111091192LSep 17 · 15:00O. Kolisnyk1.5011119113J. Kanera2.50591171LSep 12 · 17:31O. Kolisnyk1.8211411113J. Kanera1.90811991LSep 12 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk1.6111511113J. Kanera2.20411931WSep 12 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.205690J. Kanera1.611111113WSep 12 · 14:30J. Kanera1.8011913113J. Ruzicka1.916111191WSep 10 · 17:29J. Kanera1.9111116113P. Gireth1.80851171WSep 10 · 16:30P. Gireth1.53711851J. Kanera2.3811511113LSep 10 · 15:30J. Kanera2.201110131332O. Kolisnyk1.619121115113
J. Simecek10
LSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481LSep 17 · 15:30J. Simecek2.63149481M. Huk1.44121111113WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113WSep 3 · 16:30A. Brazda2.1095111132J. Simecek1.67111177113
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