TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13135649
Played Sep 17Finished
Martin Huk
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311117––––
Erik Mares
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:06 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeErik Mares to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Huk above · Erik Mares below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 62 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Erik Mares at 62.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Martin Huk 23–18 Erik Mares Erik Mares has won 18 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:06What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Mares
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-18 in 41
Huk
Correct
gap of 5 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Huk 1787 vs Mares 1898
Mares
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Huk 60% vs Mares 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Huk 40% vs Mares 80%
Mares
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Huk +2 · Mares -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Mares) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHuk 2.50 / Mares 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Mares)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13135649
Huk2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog42% won 115 of 275
Down 0–1, comes back25% 38 of 150
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 75
Mares1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 138 of 238
Up 2–0, closes it88% 91 of 104
Up 1–0, closes it73% 118 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHuk6wins
AwayMares4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHuk100%4 of 4
AwayMares66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Huk4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S2Huk3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Huk4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S4Huk6Mares2n = 8Huk took 6 of 8
S5Huk4Mares1n = 5Huk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHukMaresH − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.842.5−1.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHukMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime797 / 1628 vs 609 / 121149%50.3%797 / 1628 vs 609 / 1211Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresHuk 2.50/Mares 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.7%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 08:00M. Huk49116811133E. Mares47511119112
LSep 12 · 06:00M. Huk172960E. Mares331111113
WSep 3 · 10:00M. Huk501151211113E. Mares4361114662
WSep 2 · 03:28M. Huk4111811113E. Mares33511891
WSep 1 · 23:00M. Huk48611515113E. Mares45112111382
WJan 23 · 07:00M. Huk4471313113E. Mares4211111191
LJan 17 · 11:30M. Huk378111261E. Mares45111310113
LJan 17 · 09:00M. Huk2391040E. Mares341112113
WJan 16 · 07:30M. Huk44119112113E. Mares4781181192
LJan 14 · 23:30M. Huk5510111211112E. Mares56129148133
M. Huk10
WSep 17 · 24:30M. Zahradka1.73119831M. Huk2.0071111113WSep 16 · 23:30T. Postelt1.73911514102M. Huk2.001171112123LSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113WSep 16 · 21:03P. Bradach2.639131091M. Huk1.44111112113LSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133LSep 16 · 19:00M. Huk2.1081050M. Zahradka1.671112113LSep 16 · 18:00P. Bradach1.7311146133M. Huk2.0071211111LSep 13 · 09:00A. Barton1.671111133M. Huk2.1075110WSep 13 · 08:00M. Huk2.50116811133E. Mares1.50511119112LSep 13 · 07:30L. Zeman1.5711911113M. Huk2.25511741
E. Mares10
WSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162LSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113LSep 16 · 23:00M. Zahradka3.50251016113E. Mares1.2823121461WSep 16 · 21:28E. Mares2.101111113V. Koubek1.675740WSep 16 · 20:00E. Mares2.0010121111113V. Koubek1.7312149882WSep 16 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.838111081E. Mares1.8311912113WSep 16 · 18:00E. Mares2.38111110113J. Medek1.53651291WSep 15 · 21:30E. Mares1.281121013113M. Zahradka3.20811121162WSep 15 · 20:00E. Mares2.001111113V. Koubek1.738880LSep 13 · 08:00M. Huk2.50116811133E. Mares1.50511119112
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