TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13140521
Played Sep 17Finished
Jiri Ruzicka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181171210––––
Jan Simecek
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:32 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Ruzicka above · Jan Simecek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 59 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 56.2%
59 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Ruzicka 16–14 Jan Simecek Jan Simecek has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:32What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-14 in 30
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruzicka 1802 vs Simecek 1639
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 164 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruzicka 60% vs Simecek 40%
Ruzicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruzicka 70% vs Simecek 50%
Ruzicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruzicka -1 · Simecek -3
Simecek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuzicka 1.61 / Simecek 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Ruzicka)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13140521
Ruzicka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite57% won 167 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 91 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it77% 125 of 163
Simecek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 53 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back21% 15 of 71
Down 0–2, comes back7% 3 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuzicka5wins
AwaySimecek5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuzicka71.4%5 of 7
AwaySimecek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruzicka7Simecek3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S2Ruzicka7Simecek3n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Ruzicka4Simecek6n = 10Simecek took 6 of 10
S4Ruzicka0Simecek4n = 4Simecek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuzickaSimecekR − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.533.1+1.4per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuzickaSimecekBasisWin rate · lifetime687 / 1418 vs 108 / 21748.5%49.8%687 / 1418 vs 108 / 217Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRuzicka 1.61/Simecek 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 09:14J. Ruzicka361111143J. Simecek2888120
WAug 3 · 08:30J. Ruzicka331111113J. Simecek176560
WJul 27 · 10:30J. Ruzicka45111157113J. Simecek3645111152
LJul 27 · 06:30J. Ruzicka35911781J. Simecek4211911113
WJul 20 · 14:30J. Ruzicka351111133J. Simecek2788110
WJul 20 · 11:00J. Ruzicka341111123J. Simecek2899100
LJun 14 · 24:30J. Ruzicka4712117982J. Simecek451021111113
LJun 11 · 17:00J. Ruzicka229490J. Simecek331111113
LJun 11 · 14:30J. Ruzicka2811980J. Simecek351311113
LJun 11 · 11:00J. Ruzicka30115771J. Simecek4071111113
J. Ruzicka10
LSep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.001111113J. Ruzicka1.735620LSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113WSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113WSep 16 · 22:30M. Huk1.73571141J. Ruzicka2.0011118113LSep 16 · 21:28J. Ruzicka2.383870M. Zahradka1.531111113WSep 16 · 20:30M. Huk1.915111011112J. Ruzicka1.80118129133WSep 16 · 19:30J. Ruzicka1.8041111113P. Bradach1.91116571WSep 16 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.6113511862J. Ruzicka2.201111811113
J. Simecek10
LSep 17 · 16:59J. Simecek1.83911571J. Kanera1.8311311113LSep 17 · 16:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121011113J. Simecek2.501012481LSep 17 · 15:30J. Simecek2.63149481M. Huk1.44121111113WSep 17 · 14:30J. Kanera1.805117101J. Simecek1.9111711123WSep 4 · 03:28J. Simecek1.801111113M. Wagner1.918880LSep 4 · 02:30J. Simecek1.73112911102M. Wagner2.00811119123WSep 4 · 01:30T. Franek2.1041060J. Simecek1.671112113WSep 4 · 24:00J. Simecek1.611111113M. Sychra2.204280WSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 17:30J. Simecek1.6510740A. Brazda2.101211113
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