Oleksandr Kolisnyk vs Mark Robin Wagner 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13140451

Played Sep 17Finished

Oleksandr Kolisnyk

Home

1.62

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

6111191191210––

Mark Robin Wagner

Away

2.20

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%

Graded at full time

Oleksandr Kolisnyk to win

58.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Mark Robin Wagner below

Set 1 · 6-11

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 12-10

Point 79 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 58.5%

79 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 13:12

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Kolisnyk

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Kolisnyk 1823 vs Wagner 1673

Kolisnyk

Correct

both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Kolisnyk 80% vs Wagner 20%

Kolisnyk

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Kolisnyk 60% vs Wagner 40%

Kolisnyk

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Kolisnyk +3 · Wagner -4

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Wagner form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsKolisnyk 1.61 / Wagner 2.20

Signal prob.61% / 40%

Edge (Kolisnyk)+2.8pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13140451

Kolisnyk1.61

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite59% won 81 of 137

Up 2–0, closes it95% 37 of 39

Up 1–0, closes it81% 64 of 79

Wagner2.20

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog54% won 30 of 56

Down 0–1, comes back38% 11 of 29

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricKolisnykWagnerBasisWin rate · lifetime555 / 1095 vs 91 / 16550.7%55.2%555 / 1095 vs 91 / 165Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kolisnyk

Kolisnyk 1.61/Wagner 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.5%

Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Kolisnyk won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

O. Kolisnyk10