Mark Robin Wagner vs Ales Barton 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13140699

Played Sep 17Finished

Mark Robin Wagner

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 5

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

113911119711119

Ales Barton

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:02 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%

Graded at full time

Ales Barton to win

61.7%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Ales Barton below

Set 1 · 11-3

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-9

Set 4 · 7-11

Set 5 · 11-9

Point 92 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Ales Barton at 61.7%

92 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:02

What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Barton

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Wagner 1667 vs Barton 1781

Barton

Wrong

both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Wagner 0% vs Barton 40%

Barton

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Wagner 30% vs Barton 50%

Barton

Wrong

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Wagner -5 · Barton +1

Wagner

Correct

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Barton)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Barton form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsWagner 2.25 / Barton 1.57

Signal prob.38% / 62%

Edge (Barton)+2.8pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13140699

Wagner2.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog54% won 30 of 56

Down 0–1, comes back38% 11 of 29

Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15

Barton1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite58% won 78 of 134

Up 2–0, closes it90% 34 of 38

Up 1–0, closes it75% 55 of 73

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricWagnerBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime91 / 166 vs 230 / 43654.8%52.8%91 / 166 vs 230 / 436Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Barton

Wagner 2.25/Barton 1.57

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

61.7%

Barton · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Wagner won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Wagner10