TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153262
Played Sep 19Finished
Mark Robin Wagner
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4111517811––––
Ondrej Cmerda
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:22 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeMark Robin Wagner to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMark Robin Wagner above · Ondrej Cmerda below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 15-17
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 66 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Mark Robin Wagner at 59.4%
66 points played in total.
H2H Mark Robin Wagner 0–1 Ondrej Cmerda Mark Robin Wagner has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:22What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Cmerda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Wagner 1705 vs Cmerda 1709
Cmerda
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wagner 60% vs Cmerda 20%
Wagner
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wagner 40% vs Cmerda 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wagner -1 · Cmerda -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cmerda) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cmerda form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWagner 1.91 / Cmerda 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Cmerda)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153262
Wagner1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 33 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back38% 11 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Cmerda1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 28 of 43
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeWagner0wins
AwayCmerda1wins
Cmerda leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricWagnerCmerdaW − CBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match27.039.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWagnerCmerdaBasisWin rate · lifetime96 / 173 vs 181 / 34855.5%52%96 / 173 vs 181 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmerdaWagner 1.91/Cmerda 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cmerda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cmerda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 19 · 06:30M. Wagner2741580O. Cmerda391117113
M. Wagner10
WSep 19 · 08:00P. Saleny2.2514890M. Wagner1.571611113WSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113LSep 18 · 03:30O. Kolisnyk1.57111111113M. Wagner2.25136581WSep 18 · 02:00J. Simecek1.67251161M. Wagner2.1011114113WSep 18 · 24:30M. Wagner1.911111113J. Ruzicka1.807970WSep 17 · 23:00M. Wagner2.25119117113A. Barton1.5731191192LSep 17 · 22:00O. Kolisnyk1.6161111123M. Wagner2.201199101LSep 14 · 02:58R. Urbaniec2.381111113M. Wagner1.537890LSep 14 · 01:30M. Wagner1.8011771142J. Ruzicka1.91911116113LSep 14 · 24:30J. Louda2.10111115123M. Wagner1.67113911102
O. Cmerda10
LSep 19 · 07:30O. Cmerda1.83712711P. Saleny1.83111011113LSep 18 · 17:00O. Cmerda2.0011118572O. Svacha1.73861111113LSep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.831311113O. Cmerda1.8311560WSep 18 · 15:30O. Cmerda1.831081111113O. Svacha1.8312116552LSep 18 · 14:30V. Nohejl2.751391211113O. Cmerda1.40151110582LJun 10 · 02:00O. Cmerda2.00581141T. Franek1.7311114113WJun 10 · 01:00O. Cmerda1.671111113R. Urbaniec2.107850LJun 10 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.6712914113O. Cmerda2.1010111261LJun 9 · 22:30O. Svacha2.0081111113O. Cmerda1.73119761LMay 26 · 21:30O. Cmerda1.5091651162R. Urbaniec2.401114119113
Upcoming Matches
M. Wagner
O. Cmerda
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.