TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153971
Played Sep 19Finished
Jakub Tazler
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6119111131171113
Radim Urbaniec
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 65.2% is still 65.2%
Graded at full timeRadim Urbaniec to win
65.2%
65.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Tazler above · Radim Urbaniec below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 93 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Radim Urbaniec at 65.2%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Tazler 1–3 Radim Urbaniec Jakub Tazler has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Urbaniec
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Urbaniec
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tazler 1622 vs Urbaniec 1704
Urbaniec
Correct
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tazler 40% vs Urbaniec 60%
Urbaniec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tazler 30% vs Urbaniec 50%
Urbaniec
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tazler -2 · Urbaniec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Urbaniec) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urbaniec form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTazler 4.00 / Urbaniec 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Urbaniec)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153971
Tazler4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 100 of 203
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back16% 9 of 57
Urbaniec1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite65% won 186 of 285
Up 2–0, closes it91% 91 of 100
Up 1–0, closes it78% 126 of 162
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeTazler1wins
AwayUrbaniec3wins
1 of 4 to a deciderUrbaniec leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTazlern = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayUrbaniec100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tazler1Urbaniec3n = 4Urbaniec took 3 of 4
S2Tazler0Urbaniec4n = 4Urbaniec took 4 of 4
S3Tazler2Urbaniec2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricTazlerUrbaniecT − UBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match30.536.2−5.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTazlerUrbaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 722 vs 645 / 127154.4%50.8%393 / 722 vs 645 / 1271Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbaniecTazler 4.00/Urbaniec 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Urbaniec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urbaniec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 16 · 02:00J. Tazler198650R. Urbaniec331111113
LAug 13 · 10:00J. Tazler237970R. Urbaniec331111113
WAug 12 · 13:28J. Tazler3911611113R. Urbaniec28711641
LAug 12 · 10:00J. Tazler4154111382R. Urbaniec511111711113
J. Tazler10
WSep 19 · 20:30J. Louda1.611111561J. Tazler2.2013911113LSep 19 · 18:30O. Svacha1.2091111113J. Tazler4.33112571LSep 19 · 09:28J. Tazler2.50111110872M. Wagner1.50591211113WSep 19 · 08:30J. Tazler2.1011913113O. Cmerda1.678111171LSep 19 · 07:00J. Tazler2.381114971M. Wagner1.5371611113WSep 19 · 06:00P. Saleny1.501110101112J. Tazler2.50512126113LSep 18 · 16:59J. Tazler1.67511131192D. Hofman2.10119155113WSep 18 · 16:30D. Hofman2.00471171J. Tazler1.7311119113LSep 18 · 15:30J. Tazler2.2091111282V. Vejvoda1.61115511113LSep 18 · 14:30M. Vondrak1.6111117113J. Tazler2.20781161
R. Urbaniec10
WSep 19 · 20:00R. Urbaniec1.73711511113O. Svacha2.0011911632WSep 19 · 18:00R. Urbaniec1.571111113J. Louda2.254570LSep 19 · 02:59R. Urbaniec2.3811812792R. Rose1.538111011113WSep 19 · 02:00R. Urbaniec2.50141173113R. Rose1.50126111182WSep 19 · 01:00R. Urbaniec1.67129611113O. Svacha2.10101111682LSep 19 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.44111111113R. Urbaniec2.63691361LSep 18 · 22:30M. Hampl1.801061111113R. Urbaniec1.9112119592LSep 18 · 17:30V. Nohejl1.671111117123R. Urbaniec2.10713511102WSep 18 · 16:30R. Urbaniec1.831311113O. Cmerda1.8311560LSep 18 · 15:00R. Urbaniec2.1011891172V. Nohejl1.67711115113
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