TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Yevhenii Korotin
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113121415131191210
Volodymyr Mykhalchenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Korotin above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 15-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 120 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 54.0%
120 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Korotin 0–1 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Yevhenii Korotin has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Mykhalchenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Korotin 1314 vs Mykhalchenko 1165
Korotin
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Korotin 100% vs Mykhalchenko 20%
Korotin
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Korotin 60% vs Mykhalchenko 40%
Korotin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Korotin +5 · Mykhalchenko -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Korotin) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKorotin 1.83 / Mykhalchenko 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Korotin)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13161399
Korotin1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Mykhalchenko1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKorotin0wins
AwayMykhalchenko1wins
Mykhalchenko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKorotinMykhalchenkoK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.041.0−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKorotinMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 209 vs 124 / 22149.3%56.1%103 / 209 vs 124 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KorotinKorotin 1.83/Mykhalchenko 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Korotin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Korotin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 30 · 15:40Y. Korotin341167101V. Mykhalchenko4171111123
Y. Korotin10
WSep 20 · 15:40O. Stopin2.7510750Y. Korotin1.401211113WSep 20 · 13:40V. Varchenko2.254450Y. Korotin1.57111163WSep 20 · 12:40Y. Korotin1.50118118143S. Kovalenko2.50511711122WSep 20 · 11:40V. Kondratenko1.8311711592Y. Korotin1.83711811113WSep 16 · 10:20Y. Korotin2.201111113V. Kondratenko1.615560LSep 16 · 08:50Y. Korotin1.7388131192S. Semenets2.001111118113LSep 16 · 07:20Y. Korotin2.2511391262S. Hovorunets1.578111110113LSep 16 · 05:50Y. Korotin1.831351181D. Khavanskyi1.8315116113WSep 15 · 16:40Y. Korotin1.44111178133O. Miklukha2.63881111112LSep 15 · 15:10Y. Korotin1.911051171V. Stukalov1.8012117113
V. Mykhalchenko10
LSep 20 · 16:10V. Mykhalchenko1.80117671S. Kovalenko1.9161111113LSep 20 · 14:10V. Kondratenko1.7311101311103V. Mykhalchenko2.0081215932LSep 20 · 12:10V. Varchenko1.2511613113V. Mykhalchenko3.758111111LSep 20 · 11:10O. Stopin1.501111113V. Mykhalchenko2.507360WSep 19 · 10:50V. Mykhalchenko2.201311114113V. Kucheriavyi1.6115341192LSep 19 · 09:50V. Mykhalchenko1.446870D. Khavanskyi2.631111113WSep 19 · 08:20V. Mykhalchenko3.001111113O. Stopin1.364580LSep 19 · 06:20V. Mykhalchenko3.2512520V. Varchenko1.331411113WSep 12 · 10:30O. Ponomarenko1.67613391V. Mykhalchenko2.10111111113WSep 12 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0891111113S. Kuzko7.00118791
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