TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1183111121416118
Yaroslav Makovka
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Tiutiunnyk to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Tiutiunnyk above · Yaroslav Makovka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 14-16
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Maksym Tiutiunnyk at 66.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Tiutiunnyk 22–13 Yaroslav Makovka Yaroslav Makovka has won 13 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-13 in 35
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1628 vs Makovka 1530
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Makovka 40%
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 50% vs Makovka 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +3 · Makovka -1
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Tiutiunnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 1.44 / Makovka 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161360
Tiutiunnyk1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite64% won 61 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 22 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it80% 36 of 45
Makovka2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk7wins
AwayMakovka3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk71.4%5 of 7
AwayMakovka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk7Makovka3n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk7Makovka3n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk7Makovka3n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk5Makovka3n = 8Tiutiunnyk took 5 of 8
S5Tiutiunnyk1Makovka2n = 3Makovka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykMakovkaT − MBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.135.9+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykMakovkaBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 395 vs 152 / 38149.4%39.9%195 / 395 vs 152 / 381Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTiutiunnyk 1.44/Makovka 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.1%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 2 · 06:35M. Tiutiunnyk351311113Y. Makovka1511130
WJul 24 · 15:30M. Tiutiunnyk4211119113Y. Makovka33591181
WJun 13 · 11:10M. Tiutiunnyk341112113Y. Makovka2461080
LJun 7 · 09:00M. Tiutiunnyk4611911782Y. Makovka48811711113
WJun 6 · 14:40M. Tiutiunnyk4012512113Y. Makovka4010111091
WMay 3 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk44611115113Y. Makovka3911851142
WApr 19 · 10:00M. Tiutiunnyk4261111143Y. Makovka371195121
LMar 29 · 05:00M. Tiutiunnyk4371161182Y. Makovka48117118113
WJan 3 · 12:10M. Tiutiunnyk44121110113Y. Makovka391091281
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 20 · 09:30O. Kuzyshyn1.6761291132M. Tiutiunnyk2.101110114113WSep 20 · 07:30A. Droshchynskyi1.3311119462M. Tiutiunnyk3.25591111113WSep 20 · 06:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.73711511113Y. Holoborodko2.0011911992LSep 20 · 05:30R. Pomin2.20117911113M. Tiutiunnyk1.6171111252LSep 19 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.288660A. Zozulia3.501111113LSep 19 · 15:10V. Merzlikin1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.201960WSep 19 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk4.00981111113A. Droshchynskyi1.2211115482LSep 19 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.80111187113M. Tiutiunnyk1.9185111172LSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113WSep 13 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.611113113A. Zozulia2.2011180
Y. Makovka10
LSep 20 · 10:00Y. Makovka2.63311100Y. Holoborodko1.441113123WSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171LSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131WSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282WSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113LSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113WSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113
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