TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Yaroslav Makovka
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
31111131012––––
Yevhenii Holoborodko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:05 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeYevhenii Holoborodko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYaroslav Makovka above · Yevhenii Holoborodko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 60 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Yevhenii Holoborodko at 66.1%
60 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Makovka 6–15 Yevhenii Holoborodko Yaroslav Makovka has won 6 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:05What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Holoborodko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-15 in 21
Holoborodko
Correct
gap of 9 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makovka 1544 vs Holoborodko 1537
Makovka
Wrong
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makovka 60% vs Holoborodko 20%
Makovka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makovka 70% vs Holoborodko 20%
Makovka
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Makovka +1 · Holoborodko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Holoborodko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Holoborodko form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakovka 2.63 / Holoborodko 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Holoborodko)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161121
Makovka2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 47 of 134
Down 0–1, comes back20% 17 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Holoborodko1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 114 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it69% 72 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakovka4wins
AwayHoloborodko6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHoloborodko leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakovkan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayHoloborodko55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makovka1Holoborodko9n = 10Holoborodko took 9 of 10
S2Makovka6Holoborodko4n = 10Makovka took 6 of 10
S3Makovka4Holoborodko6n = 10Holoborodko took 6 of 10
S4Makovka3Holoborodko5n = 8Holoborodko took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakovkaHoloborodkoM − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match38.341.8−3.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakovkaHoloborodkoBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 381 vs 335 / 64739.9%51.8%152 / 381 vs 335 / 647Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HoloborodkoMakovka 2.63/Holoborodko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Holoborodko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Holoborodko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:30Y. Makovka4110131081Y. Holoborodko46121112113
LAug 2 · 05:05Y. Makovka35911961Y. Holoborodko4011711113
WJul 26 · 10:35Y. Makovka53911615123Y. Holoborodko471121113102
LJul 25 · 17:10Y. Makovka4311127131Y. Holoborodko4881411153
LJul 12 · 10:00Y. Makovka189540Y. Holoborodko331111113
WJul 11 · 16:10Y. Makovka52817124113Y. Holoborodko551115101182
WJul 4 · 14:10Y. Makovka4391112113Y. Holoborodko341141091
WJun 23 · 03:10Y. Makovka4371312113Y. Holoborodko3911111071
LJun 13 · 14:40Y. Makovka219930Y. Holoborodko331111113
LJun 7 · 04:30Y. Makovka349101141Y. Holoborodko4311129113
Y. Makovka10
WSep 20 · 08:00R. Pomin1.40108121162Y. Makovka2.751211105113LSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171LSep 20 · 05:00O. Kuzyshyn1.2811112113Y. Makovka3.50761131WSep 19 · 12:05Y. Makovka2.251615710113Y. Kovshun1.571413111282WSep 19 · 10:05I. Efimenko1.44614761Y. Makovka2.63111211113LSep 19 · 08:05Y. Volkov1.50871611113Y. Makovka2.50111114492WSep 19 · 07:05Y. Makovka2.0011811113V. Kryvenko1.73611981WSep 19 · 06:05A. Kotiash2.63811731Y. Makovka1.4411911113WSep 16 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2071151242Y. Makovka1.611121110113WSep 16 · 09:35Y. Makovka2.751111163I. Pytsko1.4059140
Y. Holoborodko10
WSep 20 · 08:30O. Kuzyshyn1.44111181192Y. Holoborodko2.63133112113LSep 20 · 06:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.73711511113Y. Holoborodko2.0011911992LSep 20 · 04:30A. Droshchynskyi1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.756960LSep 19 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.6334120A. Droshchynskyi1.441111143LSep 19 · 15:40O. Kuzyshyn1.571211113Y. Holoborodko2.2510680LSep 19 · 12:40Y. Holoborodko2.001011119142A. Zozulia1.73125711163WSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113LSep 17 · 17:10Y. Holoborodko1.804101141A. Zozulia1.9111128113LSep 17 · 15:10V. Merzlikin2.201111113Y. Holoborodko1.617880LSep 17 · 14:10Y. Holoborodko1.8011114472I. Efimenko1.91561111113
Upcoming Matches
Y. Makovka
Y. Holoborodko
Nothing scheduled
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