TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Andrii Droshchynskyi
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115119911411611
Maksym Tiutiunnyk
Away
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:34 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeAndrii Droshchynskyi to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Droshchynskyi above · Maksym Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 88 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Andrii Droshchynskyi at 72.5%
88 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Droshchynskyi 9–4 Maksym Tiutiunnyk Maksym Tiutiunnyk has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:34What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Droshchynskyi 1674 vs Tiutiunnyk 1617
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Droshchynskyi 60% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Droshchynskyi +3 · Tiutiunnyk +1
Droshchynskyi
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Droshchynskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Droshchynskyi form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDroshchynskyi 1.33 / Tiutiunnyk 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Droshchynskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161025
Droshchynskyi1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 77 of 121
Up 2–0, closes it90% 54 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it75% 62 of 83
Tiutiunnyk3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 36 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 55
Down 0–2, comes back13% 5 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDroshchynskyi7wins
AwayTiutiunnyk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDroshchynskyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDroshchynskyi77.8%7 of 9
AwayTiutiunnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Droshchynskyi9Tiutiunnyk1n = 10Droshchynskyi took 9 of 10
S2Droshchynskyi8Tiutiunnyk2n = 10Droshchynskyi took 8 of 10
S3Droshchynskyi6Tiutiunnyk4n = 10Droshchynskyi took 6 of 10
S4Droshchynskyi2Tiutiunnyk2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDroshchynskyiTiutiunnykD − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.829.2+6.6per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDroshchynskyiTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime128 / 224 vs 194 / 39457.1%49.2%128 / 224 vs 194 / 394Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DroshchynskyiDroshchynskyi 1.33/Tiutiunnyk 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Droshchynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 07:30A. Droshchynskyi4111119462M. Tiutiunnyk47591111113
LSep 19 · 14:10A. Droshchynskyi3911115482M. Tiutiunnyk50981111113
WSep 13 · 08:30A. Droshchynskyi331111113M. Tiutiunnyk259970
WSep 12 · 11:40A. Droshchynskyi331111113M. Tiutiunnyk188280
WAug 2 · 12:05A. Droshchynskyi4311118133M. Tiutiunnyk357611111
WJul 24 · 12:30A. Droshchynskyi4011711113M. Tiutiunnyk21211531
WJun 25 · 11:10A. Droshchynskyi331111113M. Tiutiunnyk154830
LJun 7 · 05:30A. Droshchynskyi30101370M. Tiutiunnyk381215113
WMay 14 · 17:20A. Droshchynskyi331111113M. Tiutiunnyk247890
WMay 10 · 09:30A. Droshchynskyi331111113M. Tiutiunnyk192890
A. Droshchynskyi10
WSep 20 · 06:00A. Droshchynskyi1.1711117113Y. Makovka4.50591171WSep 20 · 04:30A. Droshchynskyi1.401111113Y. Holoborodko2.756960WSep 19 · 17:40Y. Holoborodko2.6334120A. Droshchynskyi1.441111143LSep 19 · 16:10A. Droshchynskyi1.539340A. Zozulia2.381111113LSep 19 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk4.00981111113A. Droshchynskyi1.2211115482WSep 19 · 12:10V. Merzlikin3.754611111A. Droshchynskyi1.2511114133LSep 19 · 11:10O. Kuzyshyn1.83111113113A. Droshchynskyi1.83861551WSep 17 · 17:40A. Droshchynskyi2.00111111153I. Efimenko1.738713131LSep 17 · 15:40V. Maksuta1.8051111113A. Droshchynskyi1.91114871WSep 17 · 13:40V. Merzlikin4.00147331A. Droshchynskyi1.22121111113
M. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 20 · 06:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.73711511113Y. Holoborodko2.0011911992LSep 20 · 05:30R. Pomin2.20117911113M. Tiutiunnyk1.6171111252LSep 19 · 17:10M. Tiutiunnyk1.288660A. Zozulia3.501111113LSep 19 · 15:10V. Merzlikin1.611111113M. Tiutiunnyk2.201960WSep 19 · 14:10M. Tiutiunnyk4.00981111113A. Droshchynskyi1.2211115482LSep 19 · 13:10O. Kuzyshyn1.80111187113M. Tiutiunnyk1.9185111172LSep 19 · 11:40M. Tiutiunnyk1.7381111952Y. Holoborodko2.00119711113WSep 13 · 09:30M. Tiutiunnyk1.611113113A. Zozulia2.2011180LSep 13 · 08:30M. Tiutiunnyk3.509970A. Droshchynskyi1.281111113WSep 13 · 07:00M. Tiutiunnyk1.61881612133O. Varlamov2.2011111410112
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