TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Josef Medek
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11511512141311––
Jan Cernik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJan Cernik to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJosef Medek above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 82 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Jan Cernik at 59.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Josef Medek 15–21 Jan Cernik Josef Medek has won 15 of their 36 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:49What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Cernik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-21 in 36
Cernik
Wrong
gap of 6 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Medek 1973 vs Cernik 1925
Medek
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Medek 40% vs Cernik 20%
Medek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Medek 50% vs Cernik 30%
Medek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Medek +1 · Cernik -3
Cernik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Cernik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMedek 2.10 / Cernik 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Cernik)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159919
Medek2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog13% won 4 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Cernik1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite69% won 81 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it87% 60 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMedek1wins
AwayCernik9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMedek25%1 of 4
AwayCernik100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Medek4Cernik6n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10
S2Medek4Cernik6n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10
S3Medek2Cernik8n = 10Cernik took 8 of 10
S4Medek1Cernik7n = 8Cernik took 7 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMedekCernikM − CBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.137.4−5.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMedekCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime300 / 516 vs 202 / 34458.1%58.7%300 / 516 vs 202 / 344Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikMedek 2.10/Cernik 1.67
Miss
What we said
56.6%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Medek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 11:00J. Medek34117881J. Cernik4071111113
LAug 25 · 21:30J. Medek30119191J. Cernik3961111113
LAug 25 · 20:30J. Medek45117116102J. Cernik41611111123
LAug 25 · 17:30J. Medek33661291J. Cernik43111110113
LAug 25 · 16:00J. Medek35811971J. Cernik3511211113
LJul 10 · 19:00J. Medek24811051J. Cernik3511211113
WJun 21 · 14:00J. Medek43111110113J. Cernik32481281
LJun 21 · 13:05J. Medek358111151J. Cernik4311813113
LJun 21 · 10:30J. Medek196670J. Cernik331111113
LJun 6 · 11:30J. Medek238780J. Cernik331111113
J. Medek10
WSep 20 · 14:00J. Zajicek2.10231190J. Medek1.672513113LSep 20 · 12:58J. Medek1.5733111252D. Opanasiuk2.251111610113LSep 20 · 12:30J. Medek1.50610111172E. Mares2.50111259113LSep 20 · 11:00J. Medek2.10117881J. Cernik1.6771111113WSep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.1079110J. Medek1.671111133LSep 16 · 20:58J. Medek1.8071113432J. Zajicek1.911161111113WSep 16 · 20:30J. Medek1.8091111113J. Zajicek1.91118791LSep 16 · 19:00J. Medek1.44411771V. Koubek2.6311911113LSep 16 · 18:00E. Mares2.38111110113J. Medek1.53651291WSep 7 · 21:30J. Medek1.851111113J. Zajicek1.853950
J. Cernik10
LSep 20 · 14:30J. Cernik2.505650D. Opanasiuk1.501111113LSep 20 · 13:30J. Cernik1.55111411862E. Mares2.30816911113LSep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.501071112113J. Cernik2.50121131052WSep 20 · 11:00J. Medek2.10117881J. Cernik1.6771111113WSep 20 · 10:30J. Cernik1.611311113E. Mares2.2011980LSep 19 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.451118113J. Cernik2.5571690WSep 19 · 20:00J. Cernik1.61121166113E. Mares2.20108111182WSep 19 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.7511196812J. Cernik1.407171111113LSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113LSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk1.371111113J. Cernik2.907760
Upcoming Matches
J. Medek
J. Cernik
Nothing scheduled
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