TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153964
Played Sep 19Finished
Zdenek Bilek
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1171917611811111
Jan Cernik
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:03 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeJan Cernik to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingZdenek Bilek above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 19-17
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 102 set 5, 1-11 — our read held Jan Cernik at 67.9%
102 points played in total.
H2H Zdenek Bilek 2–6 Jan Cernik Zdenek Bilek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Cernik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Cernik
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilek 1761 vs Cernik 1880
Cernik
Correct
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilek 0% vs Cernik 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilek 30% vs Cernik 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilek -6 · Cernik -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (0%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilek 2.75 / Cernik 1.40
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Cernik)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153964
Bilek2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Cernik1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 79 of 114
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it87% 59 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeBilek2wins
AwayCernik6wins
2 of 8 to a deciderCernik leads 6–2, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilek0%0 of 3
AwayCernik60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilek3Cernik5n = 8Cernik took 5 of 8
S2Bilek4Cernik4n = 8split evenly
S3Bilek2Cernik6n = 8Cernik took 6 of 8
S4Bilek3Cernik3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away225%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricBilekCernikB − CBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match35.239.4−4.2per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilekCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 339 vs 198 / 33651.9%58.9%176 / 339 vs 198 / 336Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikBilek 2.75/Cernik 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LJul 10 · 21:28Z. Bilek219840J. Cernik331111113
LJul 10 · 18:30Z. Bilek4212115952J. Cernik491061111113
LJun 7 · 02:30Z. Bilek176380J. Cernik331111113
LApr 12 · 17:00Z. Bilek3511321182J. Cernik46711116113
LApr 12 · 14:00Z. Bilek4412912111J. Cernik48101114133
WDec 31 · 15:00Z. Bilek4071111113J. Cernik29113691
LNov 15 · 02:30Z. Bilek376119111J. Cernik4211711133
WAug 31 · 24:00Z. Bilek46111113113J. Cernik351371141
Z. Bilek10
WSep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73115116102Z. Bilek2.00411511123LSep 19 · 18:30E. Mares1.67111112123Z. Bilek2.109814101LSep 15 · 21:00V. Koubek1.911311113Z. Bilek1.8011990LSep 15 · 20:30M. Zahradka2.2011114113Z. Bilek1.61681141LSep 15 · 19:30Z. Bilek2.10615112272E. Mares1.671117920113LSep 15 · 18:30V. Koubek1.801111113Z. Bilek1.919590LAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek2.1011911482E. Mares1.65311711113WAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442WAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122WAug 30 · 10:00E. Mares1.73961131Z. Bilek2.0011114113
J. Cernik10
WSep 19 · 20:00J. Cernik1.61121166113E. Mares2.20108111182LSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113LSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk1.251111113J. Cernik3.757760LSep 19 · 16:00L. Zeman3.2511119113J. Cernik1.33351181LSep 19 · 15:00E. Mares2.25111191113J. Cernik1.5796111142LSep 19 · 14:30J. Cernik2.101112541D. Opanasiuk1.6781411113WSep 13 · 21:00J. Cernik1.301413123V. Koubek3.401211100LSep 13 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.531111113J. Cernik2.388770LSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132WSep 13 · 18:30J. Cernik1.361111113V. Koubek3.007770
Upcoming Matches
Z. Bilek
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J. Cernik
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