TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13160501
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117116––––
Jan Cernik
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 53 set 3, 11-6
53 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 5–0 Jan Cernik Jan Cernik has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Opanasiuk beat Cernik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.25 / Cernik 3.75
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Opanasiuk)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13160501
Opanasiuk1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 82 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it70% 54 of 77
Cernik3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 20 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back28% 9 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk5wins
AwayCernik0wins
2 of 5 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 5–0, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk100%3 of 3
AwayCernikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk3Cernik2n = 5Opanasiuk took 3 of 5
S2Opanasiuk2Cernik3n = 5Cernik took 3 of 5
S3Opanasiuk5Cernik0n = 5Opanasiuk took 5 of 5
S4Opanasiuk3Cernik1n = 4Opanasiuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricOpanasiukCernikO − CBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match42.433.4+9.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 278 vs 198 / 33453.6%59.3%149 / 278 vs 198 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.25/Cernik 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.4%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 19 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk4481411113J. Cernik321112541
WJul 19 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk50891111113J. Cernik3711113662
WJul 15 · 23:00D. Opanasiuk4411811143J. Cernik344117121
WJul 15 · 16:00D. Opanasiuk331111113J. Cernik189360
WJul 10 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk41112116113J. Cernik4661191192
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113WSep 19 · 16:30E. Mares2.63109111162D. Opanasiuk1.44121139113LSep 19 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk1.6198100L. Zeman2.201111123WSep 19 · 14:30J. Cernik2.101112541D. Opanasiuk1.6781411113WSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113WSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133LSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113WSep 15 · 18:30J. Dzida1.916111110132D. Opanasiuk1.80115712153WSep 15 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk1.571110117113M. Vavrecka2.2581271192WSep 15 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.835171171D. Opanasiuk1.8311197113
J. Cernik10
LSep 19 · 18:00J. Cernik2.25881181D. Opanasiuk1.5711119113LSep 19 · 16:00L. Zeman3.2511119113J. Cernik1.33351181LSep 19 · 15:00E. Mares2.25111191113J. Cernik1.5796111142LSep 19 · 14:30J. Cernik2.101112541D. Opanasiuk1.6781411113WSep 13 · 21:00J. Cernik1.301413123V. Koubek3.401211100LSep 13 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.531111113J. Cernik2.388770LSep 13 · 19:00J. Zajicek1.44671111153J. Cernik2.63111124132WSep 13 · 18:30J. Cernik1.361111113V. Koubek3.007770WSep 13 · 17:29T. Kos2.25211771J. Cernik1.5711911113WSep 13 · 16:00M. Zahradka4.0010121081J. Cernik1.22121012113
Upcoming Matches
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Sep 19 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk1.44E. Mares2.63—Sep 19 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.73Z. Bilek2.00—Sep 20 · 10:00D. Opanasiuk2.10J. Medek1.65—Sep 20 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk1.45E. Mares2.60—Sep 20 · 12:00D. Opanasiuk1.65J. Cernik2.10—Sep 20 · 14:30D. Opanasiuk1.67J. Cernik2.10—Sep 20 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk2.63J. Zajicek1.44—Sep 20 · 16:30D. Opanasiuk2.10J. Medek1.65—
J. Cernik
Sep 19 · 19:30J. Cernik1.40Z. Bilek2.75—Sep 19 · 20:00J. Cernik1.61E. Mares2.20—Sep 20 · 10:30J. Cernik1.57E. Mares2.25—Sep 20 · 11:00J. Cernik1.60J. Medek2.20—Sep 20 · 12:00J. Cernik2.10D. Opanasiuk1.65—Sep 20 · 14:30J. Cernik2.10D. Opanasiuk1.67—Sep 20 · 15:00J. Cernik1.61J. Medek2.20—Sep 20 · 16:00J. Cernik2.50J. Zajicek1.50—
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