TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129965
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
91112141113––––
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 70 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 4–1 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:31What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Dousek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1896 vs Opanasiuk 1904
Opanasiuk
Correct
both rated, 8 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 60% vs Opanasiuk 80%
Opanasiuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 60% vs Opanasiuk 40%
Dousek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek +1 · Opanasiuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 2.00 / Opanasiuk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129965
Dousek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 35 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back32% 15 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Opanasiuk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 78 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it69% 50 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeDousek4wins
AwayOpanasiuk1wins
4 of 5 to a deciderDousek leads 4–1, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousek75%3 of 4
AwayOpanasiukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek4Opanasiuk1n = 5Dousek took 4 of 5
S2Dousek2Opanasiuk3n = 5Opanasiuk took 3 of 5
S3Dousek3Opanasiuk2n = 5Dousek took 3 of 5
S4Dousek2Opanasiuk3n = 5Opanasiuk took 3 of 5
S5Dousek3Opanasiuk1n = 4Dousek took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricDousekOpanasiukD − OBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match45.842.8+3.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime247 / 465 vs 145 / 27353.1%53.1%247 / 465 vs 145 / 273Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukDousek 2.00/Opanasiuk 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek4113611113D. Opanasiuk341111751
WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek49111179113D. Opanasiuk4286111162
LSep 7 · 18:30T. Dousek4712612892D. Opanasiuk5310111011113
WJun 21 · 13:30T. Dousek40111143113D. Opanasiuk3763111162
WJun 21 · 12:00T. Dousek526131111113D. Opanasiuk4811158592
T. Dousek10
WSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790WSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek3.00111168113J. Dzida1.3693111182LSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.53119811113T. Dousek2.3891111772LSep 14 · 21:30T. Dousek2.5011530R. Niezgoda1.501311113WSep 14 · 20:00M. Navedla2.251213581T. Dousek1.57101511113WSep 14 · 19:00R. Niezgoda1.80581161T. Dousek1.9111116113LSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousek1.73811111082L. Prikasky2.00113912113WSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113LSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113WSep 15 · 18:30J. Dzida1.916111110132D. Opanasiuk1.80115712153WSep 15 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk1.571110117113M. Vavrecka2.2581271192WSep 15 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.835171171D. Opanasiuk1.8311197113WSep 15 · 11:00R. Polasek2.2014250D. Opanasiuk1.611611113LSep 15 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.61911871M. Vavrecka2.2011611113LSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113LSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162
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