TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129956
Played Sep 15Finished
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911116811711––
Michal Vavrecka
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Opanasiuk above · Michal Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 60.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Opanasiuk 2–3 Michal Vavrecka Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Opanasiuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Opanasiuk 1878 vs Vavrecka 1800
Opanasiuk
Wrong
both rated, 78 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Opanasiuk 0% vs Vavrecka 40%
Vavrecka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Opanasiuk 40% vs Vavrecka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Opanasiuk -5 · Vavrecka -1
Opanasiuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOpanasiuk 1.61 / Vavrecka 2.20
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129956
Opanasiuk1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 78 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it69% 50 of 73
Vavrecka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 144 of 331
Down 0–1, comes back25% 46 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeOpanasiuk2wins
AwayVavrecka3wins
3 of 5 to a deciderVavrecka leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOpanasiuk66.7%2 of 3
AwayVavreckan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Opanasiuk3Vavrecka2n = 5Opanasiuk took 3 of 5
S2Opanasiuk4Vavrecka1n = 5Opanasiuk took 4 of 5
S3Opanasiuk1Vavrecka4n = 5Vavrecka took 4 of 5
S4Opanasiuk2Vavrecka2n = 4split evenly
S5Opanasiuk1Vavrecka2n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricOpanasiukVavreckaO − VBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match40.844.0−3.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOpanasiukVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 267 vs 1001 / 198552.8%50.4%141 / 267 vs 1001 / 1985Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukOpanasiuk 1.61/Vavrecka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.1%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 7 · 19:00D. Opanasiuk4781191182M. Vavrecka50119118113
WJun 22 · 11:30D. Opanasiuk52141197113M. Vavrecka47124111192
LMay 17 · 20:59D. Opanasiuk33119671M. Vavrecka4071111113
WMay 17 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk371213123M. Vavrecka311011100
LApr 29 · 18:30D. Opanasiuk3551241132M. Vavrecka521110119113
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 15 · 11:00R. Polasek2.2014250D. Opanasiuk1.611611113LSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113LSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162LSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113LSep 12 · 21:29M. Cabis2.101111113D. Opanasiuk1.679580WSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek2.38115571D. Opanasiuk1.5391111113LSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113WSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113
M. Vavrecka10
WSep 15 · 11:30M. Vavrecka2.5011911113J. Szotkowski1.50811991LSep 14 · 13:30R. Polasek1.8011116113M. Vavrecka1.90941181WSep 14 · 12:30P. Wawrosz2.00611661M. Vavrecka1.7311811113WSep 14 · 11:30M. Vavrecka2.6311811113J. Szotkowski1.44611591LSep 14 · 10:30R. Polasek1.8012811113M. Vavrecka1.911011561LSep 14 · 08:58M. Vavrecka1.807111111112R. Revay1.91114138133WSep 14 · 08:30M. Vavrecka1.9111101211113R. Polasek1.8071214392LSep 14 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.737111191P. Wawrosz2.0011139113WSep 14 · 06:00R. Revay2.1010880M. Vavrecka1.671211113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113
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