TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125180
Played Sep 14Finished
Radomir Revay
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811811––––
Michal Vavrecka
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeRadomir Revay to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Michal Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Radomir Revay at 66.1%
60 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 20–22 Michal Vavrecka Radomir Revay has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-22 in 42
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 2 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Revay 1876 vs Vavrecka 1778
Revay
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Revay 100% vs Vavrecka 0%
Revay
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Revay 90% vs Vavrecka 10%
Revay
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Revay +5 · Vavrecka -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 34% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 2.10 / Vavrecka 1.67
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Vavrecka)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13125180
Revay2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog50% won 111 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back33% 40 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back17% 10 of 59
Vavrecka1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 143 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it87% 60 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it73% 104 of 142
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay4wins
AwayVavrecka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevay57.1%4 of 7
AwayVavrecka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay7Vavrecka3n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S2Revay6Vavrecka4n = 10Revay took 6 of 10
S3Revay2Vavrecka8n = 10Vavrecka took 8 of 10
S4Revay3Vavrecka5n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S5Revay1Vavrecka2n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevayVavreckaR − VBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.839.2−1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 580 vs 1000 / 198652.2%50.4%303 / 580 vs 1000 / 1986Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaRevay 2.10/Vavrecka 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 06:00R. Revay2610880M. Vavrecka341211113
WSep 10 · 08:00R. Revay4011126113M. Vavrecka379101171
WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay511111512123M. Vavrecka48491114102
WSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay4011711113M. Vavrecka31711671
WAug 29 · 09:00R. Revay341211113M. Vavrecka2110560
LAug 29 · 07:00R. Revay27114841M. Vavrecka4291111113
LAug 28 · 09:30R. Revay34115991M. Vavrecka3631111113
LAug 28 · 07:00R. Revay38813981M. Vavrecka44111111113
LAug 18 · 06:00R. Revay4281151172M. Vavrecka48119116113
LAug 11 · 09:00R. Revay4612119682M. Vavrecka511081111113
R. Revay10
WSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970WSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113WSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460WSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123WSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113
M. Vavrecka10
LSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 07:30J. Pilch2.001361111113M. Vavrecka1.73111181342LSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113LSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671LSep 9 · 06:00M. Vavrecka2.20731491O. Paril1.61111112113LSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113WSep 7 · 20:30M. Vavrecka2.00101111113T. Dousek1.73129491
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