TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125813
Played Sep 13Finished
Radomir Revay
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210119117––––
Jakub Pilch
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingRadomir Revay above · Jakub Pilch below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7
60 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Revay 15–4 Jakub Pilch Jakub Pilch has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Revay beat Pilch 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Revay)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pilch form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRevay 1.40 / Pilch 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Revay)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125813
Revay1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite65% won 78 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 34 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it78% 55 of 71
Pilch2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 29 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRevay8wins
AwayPilch2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRevay leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRevay71.4%5 of 7
AwayPilch0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Revay7Pilch3n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S2Revay5Pilch5n = 10split evenly
S3Revay8Pilch2n = 10Revay took 8 of 10
S4Revay4Pilch3n = 7Revay took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricRevayPilchR − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.833.0+6.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRevayPilchBasisWin rate · lifetime302 / 578 vs 225 / 44352.3%50.8%302 / 578 vs 225 / 443Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.637.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevayRevay 1.40/Pilch 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Revay · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay351311113J. Pilch2111460
WSep 10 · 09:30R. Revay331111113J. Pilch184860
WSep 10 · 06:30R. Revay491061111113J. Pilch4112115942
LJul 24 · 07:30R. Revay351167111J. Pilch3941111133
WJun 15 · 11:00R. Revay391117113J. Pilch2951590
WJun 15 · 09:28R. Revay45115117113J. Pilch4151171172
WJun 15 · 07:00R. Revay4291111113J. Pilch29115851
WMay 1 · 13:00R. Revay4071111113J. Pilch34119681
LMay 1 · 12:30R. Revay381310961J. Pilch45111211113
WApr 30 · 15:00R. Revay4211911113J. Pilch33611971
R. Revay10
WSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113WSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460WSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123WSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113WSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 07:00M. Navedla1.83611128113R. Revay1.83118101182
J. Pilch10
WSep 13 · 16:30M. Navedla2.005117101J. Pilch1.7311811123WSep 13 · 15:30J. Pilch1.8310101211113P. Wawrosz1.83121210222LSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460LSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113WSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:00L. Prikasky1.9181112113J. Pilch1.801191061LSep 12 · 06:30J. Pilch1.67116112132L. Velebil2.10711711153WSep 10 · 13:00M. Navedla2.25111514862J. Pilch1.579171211113LSep 10 · 12:30O. Paril1.73111110113J. Pilch2.00251261LSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Revay
J. Pilch
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