TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13128437
Played Sep 14Finished
Michal Vavrecka
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71111411131181113
Radomir Revay
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Vavrecka above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 100 set 5, 11-13
100 points played in total.
H2H Michal Vavrecka 22–20 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 20 of their 42 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Vavrecka beat Revay 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Revay)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.80 / Revay 1.91
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Revay)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13128437
Vavrecka1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 143 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it87% 60 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it73% 104 of 142
Revay1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog50% won 111 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back33% 40 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back17% 10 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka6wins
AwayRevay4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka100%3 of 3
AwayRevay57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka3Revay7n = 10Revay took 7 of 10
S2Vavrecka4Revay6n = 10Revay took 6 of 10
S3Vavrecka8Revay2n = 10Vavrecka took 8 of 10
S4Vavrecka5Revay3n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S5Vavrecka2Revay1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaRevayV − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.237.8+1.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime1001 / 1988 vs 303 / 58250.4%52.1%1001 / 1988 vs 303 / 582Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RevayVavrecka 1.80/Revay 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Revay · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Revay won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 06:00M. Vavrecka341211113R. Revay2610880
LSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka379101171R. Revay4011126113
LSep 9 · 09:04M. Vavrecka48491114102R. Revay511111512123
LSep 9 · 07:30M. Vavrecka31711671R. Revay4011711113
LAug 29 · 09:00M. Vavrecka2110560R. Revay341211113
WAug 29 · 07:00M. Vavrecka4291111113R. Revay27114841
WAug 28 · 09:30M. Vavrecka3631111113R. Revay34115991
WAug 28 · 07:00M. Vavrecka44111111113R. Revay38813981
WAug 18 · 06:00M. Vavrecka48119116113R. Revay4281151172
WAug 11 · 09:00M. Vavrecka511081111113R. Revay4612119682
M. Vavrecka10
WSep 14 · 08:30M. Vavrecka1.9111101211113R. Polasek1.8071214392LSep 14 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.737111191P. Wawrosz2.0011139113WSep 14 · 06:00R. Revay2.1010880M. Vavrecka1.671211113LSep 10 · 09:00M. Navedla2.1091111113M. Vavrecka1.67115451LSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113LSep 10 · 07:30J. Pilch2.001361111113M. Vavrecka1.73111181342LSep 10 · 06:00M. Vavrecka1.578111131M. Navedla2.2511133113LSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102LSep 9 · 08:00M. Vavrecka2.0011812101R. Polasek1.73131110123LSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671
R. Revay10
LSep 14 · 08:00R. Revay1.83511991P. Wawrosz1.8311711113LSep 14 · 07:30R. Polasek1.731211113R. Revay2.0010570LSep 14 · 06:00R. Revay2.1010880M. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970WSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113WSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460WSep 10 · 08:00M. Vavrecka1.739101171R. Revay2.0011126113WSep 9 · 09:04R. Revay1.921111512123M. Vavrecka1.78491114102WSep 9 · 07:30R. Revay2.0011711113M. Vavrecka1.73711671
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