TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125181
Played Sep 14Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115117––––
Radomir Revay
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:41 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeRadomir Revay to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Radomir Revay below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 56 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Radomir Revay at 59.9%
56 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 67–54 Radomir Revay Radomir Revay has won 54 of their 121 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:41What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
67-54 in 121
Polasek
Correct
gap of 13 in 121, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1817 vs Revay 1859
Revay
Wrong
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 40% vs Revay 80%
Revay
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 20% vs Revay 80%
Revay
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek +2 · Revay -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Revay form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 1.73 / Revay 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Polasek)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125181
Polasek1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it84% 76 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it71% 105 of 148
Revay2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog50% won 111 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back33% 40 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back17% 10 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePolasek6wins
AwayRevay4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPolasek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek71.4%5 of 7
AwayRevay66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek7Revay3n = 10Polasek took 7 of 10
S2Polasek5Revay5n = 10split evenly
S3Polasek2Revay8n = 10Revay took 8 of 10
S4Polasek6Revay3n = 9Polasek took 6 of 9
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPolasekRevayP − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.437.8+1.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekRevayBasisWin rate · lifetime453 / 894 vs 303 / 58150.7%52.2%453 / 894 vs 303 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekPolasek 1.73/Revay 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 13:00R. Polasek361110691R. Revay4061211113
LSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek42101111101R. Revay4612913123
WSep 9 · 06:30R. Polasek4111117123R. Revay368711101
WSep 3 · 06:30R. Polasek4111127113R. Revay326101151
WSep 2 · 06:00R. Polasek4111811113R. Revay33711871
WAug 29 · 06:30R. Polasek4211128113R. Revay378101181
WAug 18 · 08:00R. Polasek50159411113R. Revay46131111742
LAug 14 · 13:30R. Polasek28131050R. Revay381512113
LAug 14 · 11:30R. Polasek351271061R. Revay44101112113
WJul 30 · 13:29R. Polasek3851111113R. Revay26117261
R. Polasek10
WSep 14 · 06:30P. Wawrosz2.0081191172R. Polasek1.73118119113WSep 12 · 20:59J. Dzida1.368980R. Polasek3.001111113LSep 12 · 20:30M. Cabis1.83111110113R. Polasek1.83581281LSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek2.38115571D. Opanasiuk1.5391111113LSep 12 · 18:30J. Dzida1.3611911113R. Polasek3.00711971LSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590LSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123LSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113
R. Revay10
LSep 14 · 06:00R. Revay2.1010880M. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 13 · 17:29R. Revay1.401211113J. Pilch2.7510970WSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113WSep 13 · 15:00M. Navedla1.83771151R. Revay1.8311116113WSep 13 · 14:30R. Revay1.441311113J. Pilch2.6311460WSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681WSep 11 · 11:30R. Revay1.911113109113O. Paril1.80311121162WSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123WSep 10 · 09:30J. Pilch2.384860R. Revay1.531111113
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