TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13124027
Played Sep 14Finished
Pavel Wawrosz
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811118911119711
Radovan Polasek
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:20 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timePavel Wawrosz to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPavel Wawrosz above · Radovan Polasek below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 96 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Pavel Wawrosz at 56.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Wawrosz 27–27 Radovan Polasek Dead even across their 54 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:20What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Polasek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-27 in 54
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wawrosz 1755 vs Polasek 1800
Polasek
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wawrosz 40% vs Polasek 20%
Wawrosz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wawrosz 40% vs Polasek 10%
Wawrosz
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wawrosz +1 · Polasek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Polasek) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polasek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWawrosz 2.00 / Polasek 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Polasek)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13124027
Wawrosz2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 42 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back36% 13 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back22% 4 of 18
Polasek1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 150 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it84% 76 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it71% 105 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWawrosz6wins
AwayPolasek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWawrosz leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWawrosz100%5 of 5
AwayPolasek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wawrosz5Polasek5n = 10split evenly
S2Wawrosz7Polasek3n = 10Wawrosz took 7 of 10
S3Wawrosz4Polasek6n = 10Polasek took 6 of 10
S4Wawrosz4Polasek4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWawroszPolasekW − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.036.1−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWawroszPolasekBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 422 vs 452 / 89350.5%50.6%213 / 422 vs 452 / 893Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolasekWawrosz 2.00/Polasek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Polasek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Polasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz4111127113R. Polasek399101191
LSep 8 · 09:29P. Wawrosz30711661R. Polasek3711411113
WSep 8 · 08:00P. Wawrosz491011116113R. Polasek4812881192
LSep 6 · 19:30P. Wawrosz1921250R. Polasek361114113
LSep 4 · 06:00P. Wawrosz28811541R. Polasek3911611113
WSep 2 · 07:30P. Wawrosz4011711113R. Polasek31611681
WAug 25 · 07:00P. Wawrosz4414118113R. Polasek351251171
WAug 24 · 08:59P. Wawrosz3911611113R. Polasek38911991
LAug 24 · 07:00P. Wawrosz27811621R. Polasek3911611113
WAug 19 · 08:30P. Wawrosz331111113R. Polasek195590
P. Wawrosz10
WSep 13 · 17:02M. Navedla1.83741191P. Wawrosz1.8311115113LSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113LSep 13 · 15:30J. Pilch1.8310101211113P. Wawrosz1.83121210222LSep 13 · 14:00P. Wawrosz1.67111151482M. Navedla2.104131112113WSep 12 · 08:59J. Pilch1.80481231P. Wawrosz1.91111110113LSep 12 · 08:00P. Wawrosz1.91911981J. Pilch1.8011811113LSep 12 · 07:30L. Velebil2.1011117113P. Wawrosz1.67881141LSep 12 · 06:00P. Wawrosz1.809111191L. Prikasky1.9111136113WSep 11 · 13:30O. Paril1.85881151P. Wawrosz1.8511119113WSep 11 · 12:30P. Wawrosz1.8361211113R. Revay1.831110681
R. Polasek10
WSep 12 · 20:59J. Dzida1.368980R. Polasek3.001111113LSep 12 · 20:30M. Cabis1.83111110113R. Polasek1.83581281LSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek2.38115571D. Opanasiuk1.5391111113LSep 12 · 18:30J. Dzida1.3611911113R. Polasek3.00711971LSep 11 · 13:00R. Revay2.1061211113R. Polasek1.671110691LSep 11 · 12:00O. Paril1.731111113R. Polasek2.005590LSep 11 · 11:00P. Wawrosz2.0011127113R. Polasek1.739101191LSep 11 · 10:30R. Polasek1.83101111101R. Revay1.8312913123LSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:30T. Dousek1.83711911113R. Polasek1.8311411642
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