TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130106
Played Sep 15Finished
Radovan Polasek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1416211511––––
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:21 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadovan Polasek above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 59 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 57.7%
59 points played in total.
H2H Radovan Polasek 3–3 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:21What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polasek 1883 vs Opanasiuk 1863
Polasek
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polasek 80% vs Opanasiuk 0%
Polasek
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polasek 80% vs Opanasiuk 30%
Polasek
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polasek -1 · Opanasiuk -5
Opanasiuk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Opanasiuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Opanasiuk form (0%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolasek 2.20 / Opanasiuk 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13130106
Polasek2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 127 of 250
Down 0–1, comes back27% 33 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 64
Opanasiuk1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 78 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it69% 50 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePolasek3wins
AwayOpanasiuk3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePolasek60%3 of 5
AwayOpanasiukn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polasek5Opanasiuk1n = 6Polasek took 5 of 6
S2Polasek1Opanasiuk5n = 6Opanasiuk took 5 of 6
S3Polasek1Opanasiuk5n = 6Opanasiuk took 5 of 6
S4Polasek2Opanasiuk3n = 5Opanasiuk took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPolasekOpanasiukP − OBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match37.742.2−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolasekOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime458 / 901 vs 141 / 26850.8%52.6%458 / 901 vs 141 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukPolasek 2.20/Opanasiuk 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek28115571D. Opanasiuk4291111113
WAug 22 · 11:30R. Polasek47111456113D. Opanasiuk48712111172
WAug 9 · 17:30R. Polasek4211811123D. Opanasiuk389118101
LAug 9 · 15:30R. Polasek31119651D. Opanasiuk4291111113
LJun 1 · 21:00R. Polasek2661190D. Opanasiuk351113113
WJun 1 · 19:30R. Polasek52118814113D. Opanasiuk48911111252
R. Polasek10
LSep 15 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.57111185113R. Polasek2.2583111142WSep 14 · 13:30R. Polasek1.8011116113M. Vavrecka1.90941181WSep 14 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.50891171R. Polasek2.5011112113WSep 14 · 11:00P. Wawrosz1.831146101R. Polasek1.8391111123WSep 14 · 10:30R. Polasek1.8012811113M. Vavrecka1.911011561WSep 14 · 09:30P. Wawrosz1.85117381R. Polasek1.8551111113LSep 14 · 08:30M. Vavrecka1.9111101211113R. Polasek1.8071214392WSep 14 · 07:30R. Polasek1.731211113R. Revay2.0010570WSep 14 · 06:30P. Wawrosz2.0081191172R. Polasek1.73118119113WSep 12 · 20:59J. Dzida1.368980R. Polasek3.001111113
D. Opanasiuk10
LSep 15 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.61911871M. Vavrecka2.2011611113LSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113LSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162LSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113LSep 12 · 21:29M. Cabis2.101111113D. Opanasiuk1.679580WSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:30R. Polasek2.38115571D. Opanasiuk1.5391111113LSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113WSep 7 · 21:30M. Vavrecka2.356760D. Opanasiuk1.521111113
Upcoming Matches
R. Polasek
D. Opanasiuk
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.