TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129099
Played Sep 15Finished
Jan Dzida
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
61111511710121315
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:51 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Dzida above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 101 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Jan Dzida at 59.7%
101 points played in total.
H2H Jan Dzida 10–9 Dmytro Opanasiuk Dmytro Opanasiuk has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:51What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-9 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 2021 vs Opanasiuk 1885
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 80% vs Opanasiuk 60%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 60% vs Opanasiuk 40%
Dzida
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida +4 · Opanasiuk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.91 / Opanasiuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129099
Dzida1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog54% won 7 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back50% 4 of 8
Opanasiuk1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 78 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it69% 50 of 73
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDzida4wins
AwayOpanasiuk6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida66.7%2 of 3
AwayOpanasiuk71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida3Opanasiuk7n = 10Opanasiuk took 7 of 10
S2Dzida4Opanasiuk6n = 10Opanasiuk took 6 of 10
S3Dzida5Opanasiuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Dzida3Opanasiuk5n = 8Opanasiuk took 5 of 8
S5Dzida3Opanasiuk1n = 4Dzida took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricDzidaOpanasiukD − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.841.3−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime214 / 360 vs 144 / 27159.4%53.1%214 / 360 vs 144 / 271Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukDzida 1.91/Opanasiuk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 18:00J. Dzida48611911113D. Opanasiuk4511911862
LSep 12 · 20:00J. Dzida345101181D. Opanasiuk4311129113
WSep 6 · 21:30J. Dzida619111911113D. Opanasiuk5111621582
LSep 6 · 20:30J. Dzida3911101081D. Opanasiuk4381212113
LAug 23 · 20:00J. Dzida345136101D. Opanasiuk45111111123
LAug 22 · 16:00J. Dzida4299111122D. Opanasiuk44111174113
LAug 16 · 20:00J. Dzida2688100D. Opanasiuk341111123
WAug 9 · 19:00J. Dzida481141111113D. Opanasiuk4491161352
WJun 11 · 18:00J. Dzida331111113D. Opanasiuk259880
LMay 31 · 09:30J. Dzida331181131D. Opanasiuk3913114113
J. Dzida10
LSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121LSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek3.00111168113J. Dzida1.3693111182WSep 14 · 17:30J. Dzida1.851211113M. Biolek1.8510620WSep 14 · 16:30J. Dzida1.6713213113J. Szotkowski2.1011111191WSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551WSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113LSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100LSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133LSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113WSep 15 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk1.571110117113M. Vavrecka2.2581271192WSep 15 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.835171171D. Opanasiuk1.8311197113WSep 15 · 11:00R. Polasek2.2014250D. Opanasiuk1.611611113LSep 15 · 10:30D. Opanasiuk1.61911871M. Vavrecka2.2011611113LSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113LSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162LSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113
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