TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125913
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Dzida
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171191315115––
Michal Cabis
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:01 and never touched — 55.5% is still 55.5%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
55.5%
55.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Dzida above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 82 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Jan Dzida at 55.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Jan Dzida 12–7 Michal Cabis Michal Cabis has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Dzida
Correct
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 1993 vs Cabis 1848
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 145 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 60% vs Cabis 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 60% vs Cabis 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida +1 · Cabis -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cabis form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.57 / Cabis 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Dzida)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125913
Dzida1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 134 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 132
Cabis2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 66 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDzida6wins
AwayCabis4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDzida leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida71.4%5 of 7
AwayCabis66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida7Cabis3n = 10Dzida took 7 of 10
S2Dzida8Cabis2n = 10Dzida took 8 of 10
S3Dzida4Cabis6n = 10Cabis took 6 of 10
S4Dzida3Cabis5n = 8Cabis took 5 of 8
S5Dzida2Cabis2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDzidaCabisD − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.837.6+4.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime211 / 357 vs 370 / 70559.1%52.5%211 / 357 vs 370 / 705Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDzida 1.57/Cabis 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 19:00J. Dzida521011119113M. Cabis4312671172
WAug 29 · 13:30J. Dzida47111186113M. Cabis3845111172
WAug 29 · 12:00J. Dzida4211119113M. Cabis27851131
LAug 23 · 19:00J. Dzida37159581M. Cabis46131111113
WAug 13 · 17:29J. Dzida4612914113M. Cabis4210111291
WAug 13 · 16:00J. Dzida331111113M. Cabis156720
WAug 9 · 21:30J. Dzida331111113M. Cabis217590
LAug 9 · 18:00J. Dzida491211410122M. Cabis561091112143
LJul 9 · 21:28J. Dzida49611141172M. Cabis50114168113
LJul 9 · 20:30J. Dzida30611581M. Cabis3811511113
J. Dzida10
WSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113LSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100LSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113WSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113LSep 12 · 20:59J. Dzida1.368980R. Polasek3.001111113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113WSep 12 · 18:30J. Dzida1.3611911113R. Polasek3.00711971WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113
M. Cabis10
LSep 14 · 14:30M. Cabis2.00751181J. Szotkowski1.7311119113WSep 12 · 21:29M. Cabis2.101111113D. Opanasiuk1.679580WSep 12 · 20:30M. Cabis1.83111110113R. Polasek1.83581281LSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113WSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113LSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113LSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122LSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123WSep 5 · 13:03M. Cabis1.5571211113T. Zika2.301110831
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