TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125912
Played Sep 14Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511911711––––
Jan Dzida
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Jan Dzida at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 49–55 Jan Dzida Martin Biolek has won 49 of their 104 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:02What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dzida
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-55 in 104
Dzida
Correct
gap of 6 in 104, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1970 vs Dzida 1979
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 80% vs Dzida 40%
Biolek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 70% vs Dzida 50%
Biolek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek +3 · Dzida -1
Biolek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Dzida)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dzida form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.91 / Dzida 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Dzida)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125912
Biolek1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog56% won 44 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back41% 14 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Dzida1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 134 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it95% 60 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it74% 98 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek6wins
AwayDzida4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek71.4%5 of 7
AwayDzida66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek7Dzida3n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S2Biolek5Dzida4n = 9Biolek took 5 of 9
S3Biolek5Dzida4n = 9Biolek took 5 of 9
S4Biolek4Dzida2n = 6Biolek took 4 of 6
S5Biolek1Dzida2n = 3Dzida took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekDzidaB − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match33.732.0+1.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime225 / 404 vs 210 / 35655.7%59%225 / 404 vs 210 / 356Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaBiolek 1.91/Dzida 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek341111123J. Dzida2899100
WSep 13 · 19:00M. Biolek4011711113J. Dzida30211891
LSep 6 · 19:30M. Biolek34991151J. Dzida4111118113
WSep 1 · 14:00M. Biolek46811511113J. Dzida4411911762
WAug 25 · 17:00M. Biolek341211113J. Dzida1810440
LAug 25 · 14:00M. Biolek32116871J. Dzida3851111113
WAug 18 · 17:30M. Biolek223J. Dzida001
LAug 18 · 14:00M. Biolek4111551192J. Dzida49911117113
WAug 16 · 19:30M. Biolek331111113J. Dzida202990
LAug 13 · 14:00M. Biolek41212611102J. Dzida521110118123
M. Biolek10
WSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113WSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113WSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113WSep 6 · 20:58M. Biolek1.801211113O. Paril1.9110950WSep 6 · 20:00M. Biolek1.7311128113O. Paril2.007101181
J. Dzida10
LSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100LSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113WSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113LSep 12 · 20:59J. Dzida1.368980R. Polasek3.001111113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113WSep 12 · 18:30J. Dzida1.3611911113R. Polasek3.00711971WSep 6 · 21:30D. Opanasiuk1.6411621582J. Dzida2.019111911113LSep 6 · 20:30D. Opanasiuk1.8081212113J. Dzida1.9111101081
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