TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130299
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Dzida
Home
1.85
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210116112––––
Martin Biolek
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Dzida above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 52 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Jan Dzida 56–49 Martin Biolek Martin Biolek has won 49 of their 105 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Dzida beat Biolek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:59What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Biolek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
56-49 in 105
Dzida
Correct
gap of 7 in 105, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dzida 2008 vs Biolek 1973
Dzida
Correct
both rated, 35 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dzida 80% vs Biolek 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dzida 60% vs Biolek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dzida +3 · Biolek +2
Dzida
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDzida 1.85 / Biolek 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Biolek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13130299
Dzida1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Biolek1.85
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDzida4wins
AwayBiolek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDzida66.7%2 of 3
AwayBiolek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dzida3Biolek7n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S2Dzida5Biolek4n = 9Dzida took 5 of 9
S3Dzida4Biolek5n = 9Biolek took 5 of 9
S4Dzida2Biolek3n = 5Biolek took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricDzidaBiolekD − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.131.7−1.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDzidaBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime213 / 359 vs 227 / 40759.3%55.8%213 / 359 vs 227 / 407Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekDzida 1.85/Biolek 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Dzida won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 14:00J. Dzida331111113M. Biolek215970
LSep 13 · 21:30J. Dzida2899100M. Biolek341111123
LSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida30211891M. Biolek4011711113
WSep 6 · 19:30J. Dzida4111118113M. Biolek34991151
LSep 1 · 14:00J. Dzida4411911762M. Biolek46811511113
LAug 25 · 17:00J. Dzida1810440M. Biolek341211113
WAug 25 · 14:00J. Dzida3851111113M. Biolek32116871
LAug 18 · 17:30J. Dzida001M. Biolek223
WAug 18 · 14:00J. Dzida49911117113M. Biolek4111551192
LAug 16 · 19:30J. Dzida202990M. Biolek331111113
J. Dzida10
WSep 14 · 16:30J. Dzida1.6713213113J. Szotkowski2.1011111191WSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551WSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113LSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100LSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113WSep 13 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311911862J. Dzida2.00611911113LSep 12 · 20:59J. Dzida1.368980R. Polasek3.001111113LSep 12 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.7311129113J. Dzida2.005101181WSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113
M. Biolek10
WSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek1.6111811123M. Cabis2.203116101WSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski2.0061111992M. Biolek1.73119811113LSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113WSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113WSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113WSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113
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