TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13126012
Played Sep 14Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1138111161210––
Michal Cabis
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:44 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Cabis to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Michal Cabis below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 72 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Michal Cabis at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 8–7 Michal Cabis Michal Cabis has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:44What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1973 vs Cabis 1833
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 80% vs Cabis 40%
Biolek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 60% vs Cabis 40%
Biolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek +1 · Cabis -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Biolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.61 / Cabis 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 42%
Edge (Biolek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13126012
Biolek1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 104 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it70% 75 of 107
Cabis2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 66 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back30% 24 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek6wins
AwayCabis4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek100%5 of 5
AwayCabis80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek5Cabis5n = 10split evenly
S2Biolek5Cabis5n = 10split evenly
S3Biolek7Cabis3n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S4Biolek4Cabis3n = 7Biolek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekCabisB − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.735.5+2.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekCabisBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 407 vs 370 / 70755.8%52.3%227 / 407 vs 370 / 707Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.61/Cabis 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek4211811123M. Cabis303116101
LSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek33951181M. Cabis3911116113
WSep 5 · 10:00M. Biolek48116119113M. Cabis4281161162
LAug 13 · 15:00M. Biolek4499111142M. Cabis50111198113
WAug 9 · 19:30M. Biolek4311127133M. Cabis3751011111
LJul 9 · 19:30M. Biolek207850M. Cabis331111113
WJul 7 · 14:00M. Biolek371113133M. Cabis29711110
WJul 5 · 14:00M. Biolek361111143M. Cabis2255120
LJul 4 · 18:00M. Biolek357117101M. Cabis4311911123
WJul 2 · 15:30M. Biolek3961111113M. Cabis30115771
M. Biolek10
WSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski2.0061111992M. Biolek1.73119811113LSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113WSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113WSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113WSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113
M. Cabis10
LSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551LSep 14 · 14:30M. Cabis2.00751181J. Szotkowski1.7311119113WSep 12 · 21:29M. Cabis2.101111113D. Opanasiuk1.679580WSep 12 · 20:30M. Cabis1.83111110113R. Polasek1.83581281LSep 12 · 19:00M. Cabis2.3812671172J. Dzida1.531011119113WSep 12 · 18:00D. Opanasiuk1.61711801M. Cabis2.20111116113LSep 10 · 17:30T. Dousek1.851114113M. Cabis1.8581270WSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113LSep 10 · 15:00T. Dousek1.835121112143M. Cabis1.831110614122LSep 10 · 14:30M. Cabis1.831111106102R. Polasek1.83561211123
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