TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13125967
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119118911911
Martin Biolek
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Martin Biolek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Martin Biolek at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 22–24 Martin Biolek Jan Szotkowski has won 22 of their 46 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:31What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
22-24 in 46
Biolek
Correct
gap of 2 in 46, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szotkowski 1896 vs Biolek 1966
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 69 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szotkowski 60% vs Biolek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szotkowski 50% vs Biolek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Szotkowski +2 · Biolek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 2.00 / Biolek 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Biolek)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13125967
Szotkowski2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog55% won 66 of 120
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Biolek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite52% won 104 of 199
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it70% 75 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski5wins
AwayBiolek5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski83.3%5 of 6
AwayBiolek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski6Biolek4n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S2Szotkowski4Biolek6n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S3Szotkowski5Biolek5n = 10split evenly
S4Szotkowski4Biolek3n = 7Szotkowski took 4 of 7
S5Szotkowski1Biolek2n = 3Biolek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiBiolekS − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.936.0−0.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiBiolekBasisWin rate · lifetime426 / 820 vs 226 / 40652%55.7%426 / 820 vs 226 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekSzotkowski 2.00/Biolek 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski4661111992M. Biolek50119811113
WAug 25 · 15:30J. Szotkowski331111113M. Biolek122370
WAug 20 · 16:00J. Szotkowski341131193M. Biolek29811551
LAug 18 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3541111362M. Biolek49117911113
LAug 11 · 17:03J. Szotkowski248790M. Biolek331111113
LAug 11 · 15:00J. Szotkowski4112118101M. Biolek46101311123
WAug 10 · 16:00J. Szotkowski4211711133M. Biolek345117111
WAug 3 · 16:59J. Szotkowski491151111113M. Biolek4251113672
WAug 3 · 16:00J. Szotkowski3611113113M. Biolek32591171
LJul 30 · 17:29J. Szotkowski194870M. Biolek331111113
J. Szotkowski10
LSep 14 · 16:30J. Dzida1.6713213113J. Szotkowski2.1011111191WSep 14 · 14:30M. Cabis2.00751181J. Szotkowski1.7311119113WSep 14 · 13:00J. Szotkowski1.781211511113P. Wawrosz1.9314811692LSep 14 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.50891171R. Polasek2.5011112113LSep 14 · 11:30M. Vavrecka2.6311811113J. Szotkowski1.44611591WSep 14 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.531111910123P. Wawrosz2.38671112102LSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831112113J. Szotkowski1.8361090LSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.831111113T. Zika1.837730
M. Biolek10
WSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek1.6111811123M. Cabis2.203116101LSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113WSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113WSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek1.5011911952T. Dousek2.50711811113WSep 10 · 16:59R. Polasek2.20611431M. Biolek1.6111911113LSep 10 · 16:00M. Biolek1.61951181M. Cabis2.2011116113WSep 10 · 15:30R. Polasek2.20311111152M. Biolek1.61118137113LSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek1.50691361T. Dousek2.50111111113
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