TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129385
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Szotkowski
Home
1.78
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214118511116119
Pavel Wawrosz
Away
1.93
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingJan Szotkowski above · Pavel Wawrosz below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Szotkowski 12–5 Pavel Wawrosz Pavel Wawrosz has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szotkowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wawrosz form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzotkowski 1.78 / Wawrosz 1.93
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Szotkowski)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129385
Szotkowski1.78
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 125 of 231
Up 2–0, closes it93% 64 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it73% 99 of 136
Wawrosz1.93
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog51% won 42 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back36% 13 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back22% 4 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzotkowski7wins
AwayWawrosz3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzotkowski leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzotkowski75%3 of 4
AwayWawrosz33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szotkowski4Wawrosz6n = 10Wawrosz took 6 of 10
S2Szotkowski9Wawrosz1n = 10Szotkowski took 9 of 10
S3Szotkowski6Wawrosz4n = 10Szotkowski took 6 of 10
S4Szotkowski4Wawrosz5n = 9Wawrosz took 5 of 9
S5Szotkowski3Wawrosz2n = 5Szotkowski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzotkowskiWawroszS − WBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.739.3+4.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzotkowskiWawroszBasisWin rate · lifetime424 / 817 vs 215 / 42851.9%50.2%424 / 817 vs 215 / 428Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzotkowskiSzotkowski 1.78/Wawrosz 1.93
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56%
Szotkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Szotkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 10:00J. Szotkowski531111910123P. Wawrosz46671112102
WAug 20 · 17:28J. Szotkowski351311113P. Wawrosz1911530
LAug 20 · 15:00J. Szotkowski399137101P. Wawrosz45111111123
WJul 28 · 13:00J. Szotkowski48111169113P. Wawrosz4268111162
WJul 28 · 10:30J. Szotkowski4391112113P. Wawrosz361161091
WJul 9 · 17:29J. Szotkowski50981111113P. Wawrosz4011114862
LJul 9 · 16:00J. Szotkowski4713116892P. Wawrosz511171111113
LJun 23 · 14:00J. Szotkowski4051111942P. Wawrosz49117911113
WJun 9 · 07:00J. Szotkowski4291111113P. Wawrosz31118841
WJun 8 · 17:00J. Szotkowski4071111113P. Wawrosz34118961
J. Szotkowski10
WSep 14 · 14:30M. Cabis2.00751181J. Szotkowski1.7311119113LSep 14 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.50891171R. Polasek2.5011112113LSep 14 · 11:30M. Vavrecka2.6311811113J. Szotkowski1.44611591WSep 14 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.531111910123P. Wawrosz2.38671112102LSep 3 · 12:58T. Zika1.911112113J. Szotkowski1.8071090LSep 3 · 12:00T. Dousek1.831112113J. Szotkowski1.8361090LSep 3 · 11:00M. Sedlacek1.801111113J. Szotkowski1.919660WSep 3 · 10:30J. Szotkowski1.831111113T. Zika1.837730WSep 3 · 09:28J. Szotkowski1.571211113R. Polasek2.2510890WSep 3 · 08:30J. Szotkowski1.671111113R. Revay2.108590
P. Wawrosz10
LSep 14 · 12:30P. Wawrosz2.00611661M. Vavrecka1.7311811113LSep 14 · 11:00P. Wawrosz1.831146101R. Polasek1.8391111123LSep 14 · 10:00J. Szotkowski1.531111910123P. Wawrosz2.38671112102LSep 14 · 09:30P. Wawrosz1.85117381R. Polasek1.8551111113WSep 14 · 08:00R. Revay1.83511991P. Wawrosz1.8311711113WSep 14 · 07:00M. Vavrecka1.737111191P. Wawrosz2.0011139113LSep 14 · 06:30P. Wawrosz2.0081191172R. Polasek1.73118119113WSep 13 · 17:02M. Navedla1.83741191P. Wawrosz1.8311115113LSep 13 · 16:00P. Wawrosz1.83791181R. Revay1.8311115113LSep 13 · 15:30J. Pilch1.8310101211113P. Wawrosz1.83121210222
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