TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13129955
Played Sep 15Finished
Tomas Dousek
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119113611811118
Jan Dzida
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:31 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeJan Dzida to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Dousek above · Jan Dzida below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 89 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jan Dzida at 70.4%
89 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Dousek 0–7 Jan Dzida Tomas Dousek has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dzida
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-7 in 7
Dzida
Wrong
gap of 7 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dousek 1882 vs Dzida 1992
Dzida
Wrong
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dousek 40% vs Dzida 80%
Dzida
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dousek 60% vs Dzida 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dousek -2 · Dzida -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Dzida) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDousek 3.00 / Dzida 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Dzida)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13129955
Dousek3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 35 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back32% 15 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Dzida1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 137 of 234
Up 2–0, closes it95% 62 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it75% 101 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeDousek0wins
AwayDzida7wins
2 of 7 to a deciderDzida leads 7–0, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDousekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayDzida100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dousek0Dzida7n = 7Dzida took 7 of 7
S2Dousek2Dzida5n = 7Dzida took 5 of 7
S3Dousek1Dzida6n = 7Dzida took 6 of 7
S4Dousek2Dzida1n = 3Dousek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away457%
These 7 meetings
MetricDousekDzidaDousek − DzidaBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set07−7of 7Avg pointsper match29.139.1−10.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDousekDzidaBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 464 vs 214 / 36153%59.3%246 / 464 vs 214 / 361Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DzidaDousek 3.00/Dzida 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Dzida · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dousek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 13 · 20:30T. Dousek2358100J. Dzida341111123
LSep 4 · 10:00T. Dousek4351181362J. Dzida481141111113
LJul 7 · 14:30T. Dousek218670J. Dzida331111113
LJun 15 · 15:30T. Dousek36712891J. Dzida43111011113
LMar 27 · 18:00T. Dousek4659111292J. Dzida511111810113
LMar 27 · 15:00T. Dousek166460J. Dzida331111113
LDec 23 · 13:00T. Dousek198470J. Dzida321111103
T. Dousek10
WSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133LSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.53119811113T. Dousek2.3891111772LSep 14 · 21:30T. Dousek2.5011530R. Niezgoda1.501311113WSep 14 · 20:00M. Navedla2.251213581T. Dousek1.57101511113WSep 14 · 19:00R. Niezgoda1.80581161T. Dousek1.9111116113LSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousek1.73811111082L. Prikasky2.00113912113WSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162
J. Dzida10
LSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121LSep 15 · 18:30J. Dzida1.916111110132D. Opanasiuk1.80115712153WSep 14 · 17:30J. Dzida1.851211113M. Biolek1.8510620WSep 14 · 16:30J. Dzida1.6713213113J. Szotkowski2.1011111191WSep 14 · 15:00J. Dzida1.57111113113M. Cabis2.25791551WSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113LSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100LSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113
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