TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13130086
Played Sep 15Finished
Martin Biolek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119911811117117
Tomas Dousek
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:21 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Biolek to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Biolek above · Tomas Dousek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 95 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Martin Biolek at 62.8%
95 points played in total.
H2H Martin Biolek 11–5 Tomas Dousek Tomas Dousek has won 5 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:21What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Biolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-5 in 16
Biolek
Correct
gap of 6 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Biolek 1961 vs Dousek 1891
Biolek
Correct
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Biolek 60% vs Dousek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Biolek 60% vs Dousek 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Biolek -1 · Dousek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Biolek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dousek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBiolek 1.53 / Dousek 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Biolek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13130086
Biolek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 106 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it89% 50 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it71% 77 of 109
Dousek2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog43% won 35 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back32% 15 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBiolek7wins
AwayDousek3wins
5 of 10 to a deciderBiolek leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBiolek66.7%4 of 6
AwayDousek25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Biolek6Dousek4n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S2Biolek7Dousek3n = 10Biolek took 7 of 10
S3Biolek6Dousek4n = 10Biolek took 6 of 10
S4Biolek2Dousek5n = 7Dousek took 5 of 7
S5Biolek4Dousek1n = 5Biolek took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBiolekDousekB − DBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.337.2+4.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBiolekDousekBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 408 vs 246 / 46355.6%53.1%227 / 408 vs 246 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BiolekBiolek 1.53/Dousek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.8%
Biolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Biolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 18:30M. Biolek4511911952T. Dousek48711811113
LSep 10 · 14:00M. Biolek34691361T. Dousek44111111113
WSep 5 · 16:00M. Biolek48711811113T. Dousek4311911842
WAug 17 · 14:00M. Biolek491211411113T. Dousek4214611922
WJul 14 · 14:00M. Biolek331111113T. Dousek145450
WJul 12 · 13:00M. Biolek341111123T. Dousek2798100
WJul 12 · 11:00M. Biolek506111111113T. Dousek4911991372
WJul 7 · 15:00M. Biolek331111113T. Dousek186750
LJul 5 · 17:30M. Biolek331110571T. Dousek3951211113
WJul 5 · 16:00M. Biolek54121489113T. Dousek481012111142
M. Biolek10
WSep 15 · 20:00M. Biolek1.8311119143J. Dzida1.839811121WSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113WSep 15 · 18:00M. Biolek1.73119811113O. Paril2.0091111772LSep 14 · 17:30J. Dzida1.851211113M. Biolek1.8510620WSep 14 · 16:00M. Biolek1.6111811123M. Cabis2.203116101WSep 14 · 15:30J. Szotkowski2.0061111992M. Biolek1.73119811113LSep 14 · 14:00M. Biolek1.915970J. Dzida1.801111113WSep 13 · 21:30M. Biolek1.901111123J. Dzida1.8099100WSep 13 · 20:00D. Opanasiuk1.83711861M. Biolek1.8311911113WSep 13 · 19:00J. Dzida1.80211891M. Biolek1.9111711113
T. Dousek10
WSep 15 · 20:58T. Dousek3.001111113J. Dzida1.369790LSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133WSep 15 · 19:00T. Dousek3.00111168113J. Dzida1.3693111182LSep 14 · 21:30T. Dousek2.5011530R. Niezgoda1.501311113WSep 14 · 20:00M. Navedla2.251213581T. Dousek1.57101511113WSep 14 · 19:00R. Niezgoda1.80581161T. Dousek1.9111116113LSep 14 · 18:30T. Dousek1.73811111082L. Prikasky2.00113912113WSep 13 · 21:00T. Dousek2.0013611113D. Opanasiuk1.731111751LSep 13 · 20:30J. Dzida1.401111123T. Dousek2.7558100WSep 13 · 19:30T. Dousek2.00111179113D. Opanasiuk1.7386111162
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