TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13153793
Played Sep 19Finished
Erik Mares
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1012911113119611
Dmytro Opanasiuk
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:23 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Opanasiuk to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingErik Mares above · Dmytro Opanasiuk below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 93 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dmytro Opanasiuk at 66.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 7–18 Dmytro Opanasiuk Erik Mares has won 7 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:23What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Opanasiuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-18 in 25
Opanasiuk
Correct
gap of 11 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mares 1913 vs Opanasiuk 1914
Opanasiuk
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mares 60% vs Opanasiuk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mares 70% vs Opanasiuk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mares +3 · Opanasiuk -1
Mares
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Opanasiuk) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 2.63 / Opanasiuk 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Opanasiuk)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13153793
Mares2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 96 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back26% 27 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back14% 9 of 63
Opanasiuk1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 82 of 159
Up 2–0, closes it91% 41 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it70% 54 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares2wins
AwayOpanasiuk8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderOpanasiuk leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares25%1 of 4
AwayOpanasiuk83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares4Opanasiuk6n = 10Opanasiuk took 6 of 10
S2Mares2Opanasiuk8n = 10Opanasiuk took 8 of 10
S3Mares4Opanasiuk6n = 10Opanasiuk took 6 of 10
S4Mares2Opanasiuk4n = 6Opanasiuk took 4 of 6
S5Mares1Opanasiuk2n = 3Opanasiuk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresOpanasiukM − OBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.240.9−5.7per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresOpanasiukBasisWin rate · lifetime602 / 1196 vs 148 / 27750.3%53.4%602 / 1196 vs 148 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OpanasiukMares 2.63/Opanasiuk 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Opanasiuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Opanasiuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 19 · 12:00E. Mares29411140D. Opanasiuk401113163
LJul 18 · 14:00E. Mares371188101D. Opanasiuk4061111123
LJul 18 · 10:30E. Mares29910100D. Opanasiuk351112123
LJul 17 · 21:29E. Mares47115118122D. Opanasiuk52711911143
LJul 17 · 20:00E. Mares381179111D. Opanasiuk4271111133
LJul 16 · 03:30E. Mares1917110D. Opanasiuk351111133
WJul 16 · 24:30E. Mares43641111113D. Opanasiuk4311117952
LJul 15 · 14:00E. Mares39102111152D. Opanasiuk52121199113
LJul 14 · 20:58E. Mares3710134101D. Opanasiuk46121111123
WJul 14 · 20:00E. Mares341111123D. Opanasiuk2459100
E. Mares10
WSep 19 · 17:30L. Zeman1.83118151192E. Mares1.831311138113WSep 19 · 15:00E. Mares2.25111191113J. Cernik1.5796111142WSep 19 · 14:00L. Zeman1.9171151392E. Mares1.801191111113WSep 17 · 02:30E. Mares1.7310101113183T. Postelt2.001212811162LSep 17 · 01:30M. Huk2.501113113E. Mares1.5091170LSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113LSep 16 · 23:00M. Zahradka3.50251016113E. Mares1.2823121461WSep 16 · 21:28E. Mares2.101111113V. Koubek1.675740WSep 16 · 20:00E. Mares2.0010121111113V. Koubek1.7312149882WSep 16 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.838111081E. Mares1.8311912113
D. Opanasiuk10
WSep 19 · 17:01D. Opanasiuk1.251111113J. Cernik3.757760LSep 19 · 15:30D. Opanasiuk1.6198100L. Zeman2.201111123WSep 19 · 14:30J. Cernik2.101112541D. Opanasiuk1.6781411113WSep 15 · 21:28M. Biolek1.6713290D. Opanasiuk2.101511113WSep 15 · 20:30T. Dousek2.00912110D. Opanasiuk1.731114133LSep 15 · 19:30D. Opanasiuk1.83391191M. Biolek1.8311119113WSep 15 · 18:30J. Dzida1.916111110132D. Opanasiuk1.80115712153WSep 15 · 13:30D. Opanasiuk1.571110117113M. Vavrecka2.2581271192WSep 15 · 12:00J. Szotkowski1.835171171D. Opanasiuk1.8311197113WSep 15 · 11:00R. Polasek2.2014250D. Opanasiuk1.611611113
Upcoming Matches
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